Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - 2022-11-08 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Herschel Walker Herschel WalkerRaphael Warnock Raphael WarnockChase Oliver
Landmark Communications (R)11/7X 1.00000   46.8000 - -0.2052 bias 46.4000 - 0.2105 bias 4.5000 - 1.2448 bias
Marist Institute11/2X 0.91667   48.0000 - -0.4397 bias 48.0000 - 0.7635 bias  
Survey USA11/2X 0.91667   43.0000 - 0.3265 bias 49.0000 - 0.5274 bias 3.0000 - 1.3296 bias
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   49.0000 - -0.4438 bias 45.0000 - 0.8599 bias 2.0000 - 0.4208 bias
Echelon Insights11/2X 0.91667   49.0000 - -0.1429 bias 45.0000 - -0.5627 bias 3.0000 - 0.7714 bias
Patinkin Research Strategies11/1X 0.90000   45.0000 - -3.3430 bias 49.0000 - 3.6054 bias 4.0000 - 1.9404 bias
Emerson College10/31X 0.88333   47.6000 - 0.6906 bias 49.5000 - 0.8084 bias 1.5000 - 1.2130 bias
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/30X 0.86667   43.0000 - -0.5021 bias 44.0000 - 1.0608 bias  
Insider Advantage10/27X 0.81667   48.0000 - 0.0480 bias 45.0000 - -0.0455 bias 2.0000 - 0.9670 bias
Siena Research Institute10/26X 0.80000   44.0000 - -0.0165 bias 47.0000 - 0.4840 bias 1.0000 - 1.3635 bias
Rasmussen Reports10/24X 0.76667   48.0000 - 1.5977 bias 43.0000 - 0.4180 bias  
Trafalgar Group10/23X 0.75000   48.9000 - 1.8988 bias 46.5000 - -1.6435 bias 4.6000 - 0.8790 bias
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach10/18X 0.66667   47.0000 - -0.8356 bias 49.0000 - 2.2171 bias  
Civiqs10/11X 0.55000   46.0000 - -1.4007 bias 49.0000 - 2.9404 bias  
Moore Information (R)10/11X 0.55000  X 1/2 46.0000 - 1.6091 bias 44.0000 - -0.6331 bias 4.0000 - 0.4516 bias
Quinnipiac University10/10X 0.53333   45.0000 - -0.2682 bias 52.0000 - 1.0754 bias  
University of Georgia10/4X 0.43333   43.0000 - -0.4747 bias 46.0000 - -0.1354 bias 4.0000 - 2.4717 bias
YouGov9/19X 0.18333   49.0000 - 0.0288 bias 51.0000 - 1.4134 bias  
TOTAL 46.661159 46.214312 1.784977