Poll Average Details- TX Governor - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Greg Abbott Greg AbbottBeto O'Rourke Beto O'RourkeDelilah Barrios Mark V. Goloby Jacqueline Abernathy Mark Tippetts
University of Texas - Tyler10/24X 1.00000   50.0000 - -0.0832 bias 44.0000 - -1.8493 bias 1.0000 - 1.0529 bias     2.0000 - 3.4082 bias
Civiqs10/11X 0.78333   52.0000 - -1.4007 bias 44.0000 - 2.9404 bias        
Quinnipiac University9/26X 0.53333   53.0000 - -0.2682 bias 46.0000 - 1.0754 bias        
Siena Research Institute9/18X 0.40000   50.0000 - -0.0165 bias 43.0000 - 0.4840 bias        
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation9/15X 0.35000   51.0000 - -2.1820 bias 44.0000 - 1.5043 bias 1.0000 - 0.6782 bias     1.0000 - 0.0198 bias
Echelon Insights9/7X 0.21667   48.0000 - -0.1429 bias 46.0000 - -0.5627 bias        
University of Houston8/29X 0.06667   49.0000 - -0.0549 bias 42.0000 - -0.8793 bias        
TOTAL 51.535834 43.820758 0.044244 0.000000 0.000000 -0.788985