Poll Average Details- Albania Parliament - Popular Vote - 2021-04-25 12:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Socialist Party of Albania Democratic Party of Albania Socialist Movement for Integration Social Democratic Party of Albania Nisma Thurje Bindja Demokratike Movement for Change Albanian Democratic Movement New Movement Party Albanian National Front Party Independent Republican Party of Albania Democratic Movement for Change People's Union Alliance Coalition New Democracy Alliance Lëvizja Vetëvendosje in Albania
Ipsos4/20X 1.00000   48.1000 - -0.3821 bias 43.6000 - 4.3474 bias 3.6000 - -3.1986 bias 0.8000 - -1.4447 bias 0.9000 - 0.2563 bias 0.2000 - -0.3212 bias 0.8000 - 0.3566 bias 0.3000 - 0.0035 bias 0.1000 - -0.1384 bias 0.4000 - 0.2785 bias           0.8000 - 0.8032 bias
TOTAL 48.482100 39.252600 6.798600 2.244700 0.643700 0.521200 0.443400 0.296500 0.238400 0.121500 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.003200