Poll Average Details- NY Governor - 2022-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Kathy Hochul Kathy HochulLee M. Zeldin Lee M. ZeldinLarry Sharpe Howie Hawkins Write-In Willie Cotton
Patriot Polling11/3X 1.00000   49.1000 - -1.4814 bias 44.0000 - 2.5748 bias        
Slingshot Strategies10/26X 0.86667   48.0000 - 2.1621 bias 42.0000 - -2.6188 bias        
Civiqs10/25X 0.85000   54.0000 - 2.9404 bias 43.0000 - -1.4007 bias        
Survey USA10/18X 0.73333   47.0000 - 0.5274 bias 41.0000 - 0.3265 bias        
Quinnipiac University10/16X 0.70000   50.0000 - 1.0754 bias 46.0000 - -0.2682 bias        
Trafalgar Group10/3X 0.48333   44.5000 - -1.6435 bias 42.6000 - 1.8988 bias 3.2000 - 0.8790 bias      
Siena Research Institute9/25X 0.35000   54.0000 - 0.4840 bias 37.0000 - -0.0165 bias        
co/efficient9/7X 0.05000   49.0000 - -1.7398 bias 43.0000 - 1.9160 bias        
Emerson College9/6X 0.03333   50.2000 - 0.8084 bias 34.9000 - 0.6906 bias        
TOTAL 48.799744 42.606499 2.321000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000