Poll Average Details- OH US Senate - R Primary - 2022-05-03 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	J.D. Vance J.D. Vance	Josh Mandel J.D. Vance	Matthew J. Dolan J.D. Vance	Michael E. Gibbons J.D. Vance	Jane M. Timken J.D. Vance	Mark Pukita J.D. Vance	Neil Patel J.D. Vance
Trafalgar Group	5/1	X 1.00000		26.2000	20.8000	22.0000	13.1000	5.7000	1.9000	1.7000
Emerson College	4/29	X 0.96667		26.0000	24.0000	21.0000	17.0000	8.0000	2.0000	2.0000
Fabrizio Lee (R)	4/26	X 0.91667	X 1/2	31.0000	19.0000	12.0000	12.0000	8.0000
Blueprint Polling	4/24	X 0.88333		17.0000	11.7000	18.4000	13.0000	6.9000
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News	4/24	X 0.88333		23.0000	18.0000	11.0000	13.0000	6.0000
Remington Research	4/12	X 0.68333	X 1/2	10.0000	23.0000	15.0000	17.0000	12.0000
Moore Information (R)	4/4	X 0.55000	X 1/2	10.0000	16.0000	13.0000	20.0000	15.0000
TOTAL				22.261698	18.967418	17.151473	14.414211	7.636742	1.949153	1.847458