Poll Average Details- AZ Governor - R Primary - 2022-08-02 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Kari Lake Kari LakeKarrin Taylor Robson Kari LakePaola "Z" Tulliani-Zen Kari LakeScott Neely Kari LakePatrick Finerd Kari LakeAlex Schatz Kari LakeCarlos Roldan Kari Lake
Emerson College7/30X 1.00000   48.0000 49.0000 2.0000 1.0000      
OH Predictive Insights7/27X 0.95000   51.0000 33.0000          
Public Opinion Research7/24X 0.90000  X 1/2 43.0000 43.0000          
Data Orbital7/20X 0.83333   43.5000 32.4000 2.1000 2.2000      
HighGround7/7X 0.61667   39.0000 35.3000          
Moore Information (R)6/23X 0.38333  X 1/2 37.0000 38.0000          
TOTAL 45.325773 38.536495 2.045455 1.545455 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000