Poll Average Details- Peru President - 2021-04-11 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Pedro Castillo Keiko Fujimori Rafael López Aliaga Hernando de Soto Yonhy Lescano Alfredo BarnecheaVerónika Mendoza César Acuña Daniel Urresti George Forsyth Julio Guzmán Julio GuzmánAlberto Beingolea Daniel Salaverry Vila Ollanta Humala Andrés Alcantara José Vega Ciro Gálvez Marco Arana Rafael Santos
AtlasIntel4/4X 1.00000   4.3000 - -14.3995 bias 15.3000 - 2.6808 bias 10.9000 - -0.2898 bias 12.0000 - 0.9924 bias 10.4000 - 1.8648 bias 13.3000 - 6.1205 bias 2.8000 - -3.0765 bias 4.5000 - -0.9118 bias 7.4000 - 2.1252 bias 3.5000 - 1.4193 bias 3.6000 - 1.7964 bias 3.4000 - 1.9070 bias 2.8000 - 1.3413 bias     0.4000 - -0.2000 bias 0.2000 - -0.2431 bias 0.3000 - -0.0709 bias
Instituto de Estudios Peruanos (IEP)4/2X 0.96667   6.6000 - -4.3228 bias 9.8000 - -0.4998 bias 8.4000 - -0.1332 bias 9.8000 - 1.9287 bias 8.2000 - 2.2706 bias 7.3000 - 2.2320 bias 4.1000 - -0.3499 bias 3.5000 - -0.8027 bias 5.7000 - 2.2277 bias 2.3000 - 0.9201 bias 2.0000 - 0.7771 bias 1.4000 - 0.2682 bias 1.4000 - 0.3335 bias 0.1000 - -0.2145 bias 0.5000 - -0.0116 bias 0.4000 - -0.0674 bias 0.6000 - 0.3764 bias 0.2000 - -0.1098 bias
Ipsos3/11X 0.60000   3.7000 - -7.8702 bias 10.6000 - -0.0299 bias 11.6000 - -0.1514 bias 5.9000 - -5.7259 bias 21.0000 - 7.3243 bias 10.4000 - 2.5352 bias 3.3000 - -2.7207 bias 6.4000 - 0.7564 bias 13.9000 - 8.2439 bias 3.8000 - 1.5389 bias 1.5000 - -0.4891 bias 2.3000 - 0.6318 bias 2.8000 - 1.1971 bias 0.3000 - -0.8910 bias 0.4000 - -0.3032 bias 0.4000 - -0.2206 bias 0.9000 - 0.3372 bias 0.8000 - 0.4136 bias
TOTAL 14.104023 11.280629 10.320545 9.970934 8.755470 6.544460 5.372918 5.048274 4.685071 1.858934 1.628258 1.397919 1.344697 0.650181 0.584979 0.554875 0.388413 0.351512