Poll Average Details- LA District 02 - Special Election - 2021-03-20 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Troy A. Carter Karen Carter Peterson Gary Chambers, Jr. Desiree Ontiveros Claston Bernard Belden "Noonie Man" Batiste Sheldon C. Vincent, Sr. Greg Lirette Mindy McConnell Jenette M. Porter J. Christopher Johnson Lloyd M. Kelly Chelsea Ardoin Harold John Brandon P. Jolicoeur
Edgewater Research3/7X 1.00000   35.0000 - bias 24.0000 - bias 11.0000 - bias                        
LexthomResearch and Development3/3X 0.93333   23.0000 - -0.1611 bias 17.0000 - -0.1611 bias 13.0000 - -0.1611 bias 4.0000 - -0.1611 bias 3.0000 - 0.1999 bias                    
WIN Partners, LLC2/22X 0.78333   24.0000 - bias 23.0000 - bias 6.0000 - bias 2.0000 - bias                      
Silas Lee2/14X 0.65000  X 1/2 28.0000 - bias 19.0000 - bias 6.0000 - bias 2.0000 - bias 2.0000 - bias                    
TOTAL 27.786420 21.109707 9.841214 2.987931 2.593452 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000