Poll Average Details- Boston Mayor - Primary - 2021-09-21 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Annissa Essaibi George Annissa Essaibi GeorgeMichelle Wu Annissa Essaibi GeorgeKim Janey Annissa Essaibi GeorgeAndrea Joy Campbell Annissa Essaibi GeorgeJon Santiago Annissa Essaibi GeorgeJohn Barros Annissa Essaibi GeorgeMichael Bianchi II Annissa Essaibi George
Poll Progressive LLC5/30X 1.00000   21.7000 18.1000 15.5000 6.4000 4.9000 4.6000  
Emerson College4/28X 0.46667   14.4000 16.2000 14.5000 10.6000 4.2000 3.3000 1.2000
MassINC Polling Group4/11X 0.18333   6.0000 19.0000 18.0000 4.0000 3.0000 3.0000  
TOTAL 17.890909 17.662626 15.494949 7.321212 4.490909 4.054545 1.200000