Poll Average Details- IL US Senate - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Tammy Duckworth Tammy Duckworth	Kathy Salvi Kathy Salvi	William Redpath	Connor Vlakancic	Lowell M. Seida
Research Co.	11/6	X 1.00000		58.0000 - 2.3692 bias	40.0000 - -0.3728 bias
Civiqs	10/25	X 0.80000		56.0000 - 2.9404 bias	40.0000 - -1.4007 bias
Emerson College	10/24	X 0.78333		49.0000 - 0.8084 bias	39.0000 - 0.6906 bias	2.0000 - 1.2130 bias
Public Policy Polling	10/11	X 0.56667		50.0000 - 1.1680 bias	36.0000 - -0.1800 bias	5.0000 - 1.4191 bias
Research America	10/11	X 0.56667		48.2000 - 3.9184 bias	28.5000 - -7.6926 bias	5.5000 - 4.1908 bias
TOTAL				50.742495	38.882564	1.767412	0.000000	0.000000