Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - Special Runoff - 2021-01-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Raphael Warnock	Kelly Loeffler
Insider Advantage	1/4	X 1.00000		48.7000 - -0.0455 bias	49.2000 - 0.0480 bias
AtlasIntel	1/4	X 1.00000		50.8000 - 0.9972 bias	46.9000 - 0.1499 bias
Targoz Market Research	1/3	X 0.98333		51.0000 - 3.1386 bias	49.0000 - -2.0175 bias
University of Nevada-Las Vegas	1/3	X 0.98333		47.7000 - 0.7045 bias	48.6000 - -1.1557 bias
National Research Inc. (R)	1/3	X 0.98333	X 1/2	46.0000 - -2.0967 bias	45.0000 - 3.5874 bias
Gravis Marketing	12/30	X 0.91667		49.0000 - 1.1590 bias	47.0000 - 0.2608 bias
JMC Analytics and Polling	12/29	X 0.90000		54.0000 - 0.1622 bias	45.0000 - 0.1423 bias
Trafalgar Group	12/27	X 0.86667		49.6000 - -1.6435 bias	48.8000 - 1.8988 bias
Mellman Group (D)	12/22	X 0.78333		50.0000 - 3.6270 bias	47.0000 - -2.5182 bias
Survey USA	12/20	X 0.75000		52.0000 - 0.5274 bias	45.0000 - 0.3265 bias
Emerson College	12/16	X 0.68333		48.0000 - 0.8084 bias	51.0000 - 0.6906 bias
RMG Research	12/14	X 0.65000		49.0000 - 3.2526 bias	48.0000 - -1.9745 bias
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research	12/4	X 0.48333		47.0000 - 2.9444 bias	46.0000 - -0.2048 bias
Data for Progress	11/20	X 0.25000		50.0000 - 1.5464 bias	47.0000 - -0.9368 bias
Remington Research	11/9	X 0.06667		48.0000 - 0.8599 bias	49.0000 - -0.4438 bias
TOTAL				48.634148	47.739971