[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Raphael Warnock | Kelly Loeffler |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

AtlasIntel | 1/4 | X 1.00000 | 50.8000 - bias | 46.9000 - bias | |

Insider Advantage | 1/4 | X 1.00000 | 48.7000 - 0.5952 bias | 49.2000 - -0.3648 bias | |

National Research Inc. (R) | 1/3 | X 0.98333 | X 1/2 | 46.0000 - -2.7812 bias | 45.0000 - 4.7436 bias |

Targoz Market Research | 1/3 | X 0.98333 | 51.0000 - 2.7777 bias | 49.0000 - -1.6535 bias | |

University of Nevada-Las Vegas | 1/3 | X 0.98333 | 47.7000 - bias | 48.6000 - bias | |

Gravis Marketing | 12/30 | X 0.91667 | 49.0000 - 0.7560 bias | 47.0000 - 0.5484 bias | |

JMC Enterprises | 12/29 | X 0.90000 | 54.0000 - -0.0113 bias | 45.0000 - 0.2846 bias | |

Trafalgar Group | 12/27 | X 0.86667 | 49.6000 - -1.3560 bias | 48.8000 - 2.0875 bias | |

Mellman Group (D) | 12/22 | X 0.78333 | 50.0000 - 3.9970 bias | 47.0000 - -2.7353 bias | |

Survey USA | 12/20 | X 0.75000 | 52.0000 - 0.4044 bias | 45.0000 - 0.3780 bias | |

Emerson College | 12/16 | X 0.68333 | 48.0000 - 0.7363 bias | 51.0000 - 0.7826 bias | |

RMG Research | 12/14 | X 0.65000 | 49.0000 - bias | 48.0000 - bias | |

Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research | 12/4 | X 0.48333 | 47.0000 - bias | 46.0000 - bias | |

Data for Progress | 11/20 | X 0.25000 | 50.0000 - bias | 47.0000 - bias | |

Remington Research | 11/9 | X 0.06667 | 48.0000 - 1.6114 bias | 49.0000 - -0.8071 bias | |

TOTAL | 49.165459 | 47.408819 |