Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - Special Runoff - 2021-01-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Raphael Warnock Kelly Loeffler
AtlasIntel1/4X 1.00000   50.8000 - bias 46.9000 - bias
Insider Advantage1/4X 1.00000   48.7000 - 0.5952 bias 49.2000 - -0.3648 bias
National Research Inc. (R)1/3X 0.98333  X 1/2 46.0000 - -2.7812 bias 45.0000 - 4.7436 bias
Targoz Market Research1/3X 0.98333   51.0000 - 2.7777 bias 49.0000 - -1.6535 bias
University of Nevada-Las Vegas1/3X 0.98333   47.7000 - bias 48.6000 - bias
Gravis Marketing12/30X 0.91667   49.0000 - 0.7560 bias 47.0000 - 0.5484 bias
JMC Enterprises12/29X 0.90000   54.0000 - -0.0113 bias 45.0000 - 0.2846 bias
Trafalgar Group12/27X 0.86667   49.6000 - -1.3560 bias 48.8000 - 2.0875 bias
Mellman Group (D)12/22X 0.78333   50.0000 - 3.9970 bias 47.0000 - -2.7353 bias
Survey USA12/20X 0.75000   52.0000 - 0.4044 bias 45.0000 - 0.3780 bias
Emerson College12/16X 0.68333   48.0000 - 0.7363 bias 51.0000 - 0.7826 bias
RMG Research12/14X 0.65000   49.0000 - bias 48.0000 - bias
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research12/4X 0.48333   47.0000 - bias 46.0000 - bias
Data for Progress11/20X 0.25000   50.0000 - bias 47.0000 - bias
Remington Research11/9X 0.06667   48.0000 - 1.6114 bias 49.0000 - -0.8071 bias
TOTAL 49.165459 47.408819