Poll Average Details- French President - 2022-04-10 09:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Emmanuel Macron Marine Le Pen Jean-Luc Mélenchon Valérie Pécresse Xavier BertrandÉric Zemmour Yannick Jadot Jean Lassalle Anne Hidalgo Stéphane Le FollNicolas Dupont-Aignan Fabien Roussel Nathalie Arthaud Philippe Poutou
Ipsos4/8X 1.00000   26.5000 - -2.2401 bias 22.5000 - 2.7605 bias 17.5000 - -0.8941 bias 8.5000 - 0.1276 bias 9.0000 - 1.9262 bias 5.0000 - -0.9509 bias 2.0000 - -0.3712 bias 2.0000 - -1.1038 bias 2.5000 - -0.5538 bias 3.0000 - 0.8706 bias 0.5000 - -0.2681 bias 1.0000 - 0.6911 bias
IFOP4/7X 0.98333   26.5000 - 0.3386 bias 24.0000 - 4.6575 bias 17.5000 - -0.0984 bias 9.0000 - 0.8101 bias 8.5000 - 1.4262 bias 4.5000 - -1.4132 bias 2.5000 - -0.1711 bias 2.0000 - -1.0973 bias 1.5000 - -0.3305 bias 2.5000 - 0.3098 bias 0.5000 - -0.4847 bias 1.0000 - 0.1581 bias
OpinionWay4/7X 0.98333   26.0000 - 0.2479 bias 22.0000 - 4.3633 bias 17.0000 - -1.9274 bias 9.0000 - -1.1361 bias 9.0000 - 1.9262 bias 5.0000 - -1.1339 bias 3.0000 - 0.3289 bias 2.0000 - -0.8839 bias 2.0000 - -0.3012 bias 3.0000 - 0.5735 bias 1.0000 - -0.1440 bias 1.0000 - 0.5349 bias
BVA4/7X 0.98333   26.0000 - -0.6573 bias 23.0000 - 3.0969 bias 17.5000 - -2.4274 bias 8.5000 - 1.3576 bias 9.5000 - 2.4262 bias 4.5000 - 0.6267 bias 2.5000 - -0.6711 bias 2.5000 - 0.6269 bias 2.0000 - -0.1400 bias 2.5000 - 0.6449 bias 0.5000 - -0.0183 bias 1.0000 - 0.3737 bias
Odoxa4/6X 0.96667   28.0000 - -2.2504 bias 24.0000 - 3.1978 bias 16.0000 - -3.2669 bias 7.0000 - 0.2430 bias 8.0000 - 0.9262 bias 5.0000 - 0.3666 bias 3.0000 - -0.4211 bias 2.0000 - -0.3574 bias 2.0000 - -0.1327 bias 3.0000 - 0.7160 bias 1.0000 - -0.1028 bias 1.0000 - 0.0702 bias
Harris Interactive4/4X 0.93333   26.5000 - -1.5841 bias 23.0000 - 1.6863 bias 17.0000 - -0.9465 bias 9.5000 - 2.4128 bias 9.5000 - 2.4262 bias 5.0000 - -2.8091 bias 2.0000 - -0.6711 bias 2.0000 - 0.7771 bias 1.5000 - -0.3534 bias 2.5000 - 0.6112 bias 0.5000 - -0.0121 bias 1.0000 - 0.3315 bias
Cluster 173/6X 0.45000   28.0000 - -1.1964 bias 14.5000 - -3.0522 bias 13.5000 - -8.4524 bias 13.0000 - 8.2210 bias 14.5000 - 7.4262 bias 5.5000 - 0.8666 bias 2.0000 - -1.1349 bias 1.5000 - -0.2547 bias 2.0000 - -0.0641 bias 3.5000 - 1.2160 bias 1.0000 - 0.4390 bias 1.0000 - 0.2346 bias
TOTAL 27.713277 19.614894 18.914243 7.732280 7.073800 5.628323 2.849747 2.386826 2.212899 2.141569 0.820228 0.647166