Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - Special Election - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Raphael Warnock Kelly Loeffler Doug Collins Matt Lieberman Brian Slowinski Elbert A. "Al" Bartell Ed Tarver Allen Buckley Valencia Stovall Derrick E. "TMOT" Grayson Annette Davis Jackson Rod Mack John "Green" Fortuin Kandiss Taylor Deborah A. Jackson Jamesia James Joy Felicia Slade Michael Todd Greene Tamara Y. Johnson-Shealey Richard Dien Winfield
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   41.0000 - 1.5464 bias 26.0000 - -0.9368 bias 21.0000 - -0.9368 bias 8.0000 - 1.5464 bias     3.0000 - 1.5464 bias                          
Landmark Communications (R)11/1X 1.00000   37.8000 - 0.2105 bias 27.0000 - -0.2052 bias 24.4000 - -0.2052 bias 5.3000 - 0.2105 bias 1.1000 - 1.2448 bias   1.0000 - 0.2105 bias                          
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   37.9000 - 0.8084 bias 23.6000 - 0.6906 bias 26.8000 - 0.6906 bias 7.9000 - 0.8084 bias     2.3000 - 0.8084 bias                          
Public Policy Polling10/28X 0.93333   46.0000 - 1.1680 bias 27.0000 - -0.1800 bias 19.0000 - -0.1800 bias 2.0000 - 1.1680 bias                                
Monmouth University10/27X 0.91667   41.0000 - 1.9679 bias 21.0000 - -0.9091 bias 18.0000 - -0.9091 bias 4.0000 - 1.9679 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias   3.0000 - 1.9679 bias                          
Civiqs10/26X 0.90000   48.0000 - 2.9404 bias 22.0000 - -1.4007 bias 23.0000 - -1.4007 bias 2.0000 - 2.9404 bias     1.0000 - 2.9404 bias                          
University of Georgia10/23X 0.85000   34.4000 - -0.1354 bias 20.1000 - -0.4747 bias 20.6000 - -0.4747 bias 3.9000 - -0.1354 bias 3.4000 - 2.4717 bias   1.2000 - -0.1354 bias                          
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   40.6100 - 4.4051 bias 23.0200 - -3.0328 bias 19.0300 - -3.0328 bias 3.7000 - 4.4051 bias     0.8400 - 4.4051 bias                          
Siena Research Institute10/19X 0.78333   32.0000 - 0.4840 bias 23.0000 - -0.0165 bias 17.0000 - -0.0165 bias                                  
Opinion Insight, LLC10/15X 0.71667   31.0000 - 2.9575 bias 19.0000 - -1.4171 bias 18.0000 - -1.4171 bias 3.0000 - 2.9575 bias   2.0000 - 1.5596 bias 1.0000 - 2.9575 bias                       2.0000 - 2.9575 bias 1.0000 - 2.9575 bias
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   41.0000 - 1.0754 bias 20.0000 - -0.2682 bias 22.0000 - -0.2682 bias 5.0000 - 1.0754 bias     2.0000 - 1.0754 bias                          
Survey USA10/12X 0.66667   30.0000 - 0.5274 bias 26.0000 - 0.3265 bias 20.0000 - 0.3265 bias 8.0000 - 0.5274 bias     3.0000 - 0.5274 bias                          
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/26X 0.40000   26.0000 - 5.3275 bias 25.0000 - -3.3523 bias 16.0000 - -3.3523 bias 16.0000 - 5.3275 bias                                
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   28.0000 - 3.2645 bias 28.0000 - -1.1830 bias 21.0000 - -1.1830 bias 8.0000 - 3.2645 bias     3.0000 - 3.2645 bias                          
GBA Strategies (D)9/16X 0.23333  X 1/2 25.0000 - 2.3010 bias 29.0000 - -1.9714 bias 19.0000 - -1.9714 bias 11.0000 - 2.3010 bias     5.0000 - 2.3010 bias                          
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research9/5X 0.05000   19.0000 - 2.9444 bias 24.0000 - -0.2048 bias 20.0000 - -0.2048 bias 10.0000 - 2.9444 bias     7.0000 - 2.9444 bias                          
TOTAL 36.125569 24.328458 21.475717 3.674142 0.629294 0.440400 0.279020 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.957500 -1.957500