Poll Average Details- AUT National Council - Popular Vote - 2019-09-29 11:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Austrian People's Party Social Democratic Party of Austria Freedom Party of Austria The Greens – The Green Alternative NEOS - The New Austria and Liberal Forum JETZT-Liste Pilz Alliance for the Future of Austria Christian Party of Austria Socialist Left The Change My Vote Counts! KPÖ Plus Austrian Beer Party
OGM / Austrian Press Agency9/23X 1.00000   34.0000 - -1.2942 bias 22.0000 - 1.4430 bias 20.0000 - 0.6020 bias 12.0000 - 0.0590 bias 8.0000 - -0.7766 bias 2.0000 - 0.5774 bias              
Research Affairs9/22X 0.98333   34.0000 - -2.2673 bias 23.0000 - 0.5100 bias 21.0000 - 4.0484 bias 11.0000 - -2.5395 bias 8.0000 - 0.4338 bias 2.0000 - 0.8016 bias              
Market9/18X 0.91667   35.0000 - -2.1035 bias 23.0000 - 2.0513 bias 20.0000 - 4.0281 bias 11.0000 - -2.7893 bias 8.0000 - -0.0227 bias 2.0000 - bias              
Unique Research9/13X 0.83333   33.0000 - -1.2257 bias 22.0000 - 1.2436 bias 20.0000 - -0.5527 bias 13.0000 - 1.0747 bias 8.0000 - -0.1740 bias 2.0000 - 0.3537 bias              
TOTAL 35.756251 21.206824 18.170151 12.812353 8.138171 1.555253 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000