Poll Average Details- LA Governor - Runoff - 2019-11-16 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	John Bel Edwards	Eddie Rispone
Trafalgar Group	11/15	X 1.00000		49.4000 - -1.6435 bias	50.6000 - 1.8988 bias
Data for Progress	11/14	X 0.98333		50.2000 - 1.5464 bias	49.8000 - -0.9368 bias
JMC Analytics and Polling	11/13	X 0.96667		46.5000 - 0.1622 bias	46.0000 - 0.1423 bias
Targoz Market Research	11/13	X 0.96667		50.0000 - 3.1386 bias	46.0000 - -2.0175 bias
Cygnal (R)	11/9	X 0.90000		50.0000 - 0.0766 bias	48.0000 - 0.1689 bias
Mason-Dixon	11/7	X 0.86667		48.0000 - 0.4277 bias	46.0000 - 0.8543 bias
We Ask America	10/16	X 0.50000		47.0000 - -0.1888 bias	47.0000 - 0.7934 bias
ALG Research (D)	10/3	X 0.28333	X 1/2	52.0000 - 4.2434 bias	36.0000 - -2.9971 bias
TOTAL				48.300248	47.453054