Poll Average Details- Romania President - 2019-11-10 11:00:00
The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window -
the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0.
If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals
in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively
be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus).
[TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed.
Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.
| Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal |
Klaus Iohannis | Viorica Dăncilă | Dan Barna | Mircea Diaconu | Theodor Paleologu | Hunor Kelemen | Alexandru Cumpănașu | Ramona Ioana Bruynseels | Cătălin Ivan | Viorel Cataramă | John Ion Banu | Bogdan Stanoevici | Ninel Peia | Sebastian Popescu |
|---|
| CURS | 10/21 | X 1.00000 |
|
37.0000 - 1.0325 bias |
20.0000 - -2.0594 bias |
13.0000 - -1.8901 bias |
11.0000 - 2.2661 bias |
6.0000 - 0.3415 bias |
4.0000 - 0.1668 bias |
4.0000 - 1.0325 bias |
4.0000 - 1.3900 bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| IMAS | 10/21 | X 1.00000 |
|
45.7000 - 7.9300 bias |
15.1000 - -7.1463 bias |
12.6000 - -2.4088 bias |
16.7000 - 7.8717 bias |
6.9000 - 1.1878 bias |
2.9000 - -0.9707 bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| TOTAL |
36.868750 |
22.152850 |
14.949450 |
8.781100 |
5.685350 |
3.851950 |
2.967500 |
2.610000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |