Poll Average Details- UK EU Parliament - Popular Vote - 2019-05-23 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal The Brexit Party Labour Party Liberal Democrats Conservative Party Green Party of England & Wales Change UK – The Independent Group Scottish National Party UK Independence Party Plaid Cymru Democratic Unionist Party Sinn Féin Social Democratic and Labour Party Ulster Unionist Party Alliance Party of Northern Ireland Independent English Democrats Socialist Party of Great Britain Traditional Unionist Voice Yorkshire Party Animal Welfare Party Women's Equality Party Independent Network UK European Union Party
BMG Research5/22X 1.00000   35.0000 - 5.8267 bias 18.0000 - 0.7163 bias 17.0000 - -4.1510 bias 12.0000 - 0.4240 bias 8.0000 - 0.0068 bias 4.0000 - 0.6753 bias 3.0000 - -0.4361 bias 2.0000 - 0.9911 bias 1.0000 - -0.2169 bias                            
Kantar Public5/21X 0.98333   27.0000 - -3.2425 bias 24.0000 - 10.5954 bias 15.0000 - -4.4261 bias 13.0000 - 4.3396 bias 8.0000 - -3.6832 bias 5.0000 - 1.7258 bias 3.0000 - -0.4265 bias 4.0000 - 0.8167 bias 0.0000 - -0.9531 bias                            
YouGov5/21X 0.98333   37.0000 - 8.7373 bias 13.0000 - -3.7254 bias 19.0000 - 2.5136 bias 7.0000 - -2.2623 bias 12.0000 - 1.6851 bias 4.0000 - 0.2762 bias 3.0000 - -2.1958 bias 3.0000 - 0.5460 bias 1.0000 - 0.3723 bias                            
Savanta ComRes5/17X 0.91667   32.0000 - 1.4272 bias 22.0000 - 1.7818 bias 14.0000 - 0.8389 bias 12.0000 - -0.4062 bias 7.0000 - 1.5710 bias 5.0000 - 1.7258 bias 3.0000 - 0.0331 bias 3.0000 - 0.8720 bias 1.0000 - 0.0016 bias                            
Survation5/17X 0.91667   30.0000 - 5.8776 bias 24.0000 - -0.9298 bias 12.0000 - 1.5083 bias 14.0000 - -1.6647 bias 4.0000 - 0.8266 bias 3.0000 - -0.1668 bias 4.0000 - 1.6993 bias 3.0000 - 0.8063 bias 1.0000 - 0.9640 bias                            
Opinium5/10X 0.80000   34.0000 - 2.2811 bias 21.0000 - 0.7288 bias 12.0000 - -0.2855 bias 11.0000 - 0.4420 bias 8.0000 - 0.7193 bias 3.0000 - -0.2320 bias 4.0000 - 2.3101 bias 4.0000 - 1.8536 bias                              
Panelbase4/24X 0.53333   20.0000 - -2.2498 bias 33.0000 - 4.4003 bias 7.0000 - -2.5222 bias 20.0000 - 0.8251 bias 4.0000 - -1.1781 bias 5.0000 - 0.9439 bias 4.0000 - -0.8455 bias 5.0000 - 2.2367 bias                              
TOTAL 28.382993 19.527283 15.171782 12.000760 7.515719 3.400952 3.371660 2.234459 0.774907 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000