Poll Average Details- US House - National Vote - 2020-11-03 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Democratic Party Control Republican Party Control Others Independent Control Green Party Control Write-In Conservative Party Control Libertarian Party Control Working Families Party Control Communist Party Control Constitution Party Control Socialist Workers Party Control U.S. Taxpayers Control
Suffolk University8/31X 1.00000   48.0000 - 1.6356 bias 42.0000 - -2.1317 bias                      
Selzer & Co.8/30X 0.98333   48.0000 - 1.0019 bias 41.0000 - -0.2736 bias                      
Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D)8/6X 0.58333   51.0000 - 0.9782 bias 44.0000 - -0.7237 bias                      
Reuters/Ipsos7/28X 0.43333   45.4000 - 3.1158 bias 39.4000 - 0.8563 bias                      
Echelon Insights7/22X 0.33333   51.0000 - -0.5627 bias 37.0000 - -0.1429 bias                      
Morning Consult7/19X 0.28333   47.0000 - 3.1429 bias 37.0000 - -1.6394 bias                      
TOTAL 46.920409 41.706165 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000