Poll Average Details- WI US President - 2020-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Donald J. Trump Jo Jorgensen Ye Gloria E. La Riva Write-In Don Blankenship Brian T. Carroll Mark Charles President R. Boddie Jade Simmons Kasey Wells Howie Hawkins
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   54.0000 - 2.6000 bias 44.0000 - -2.2024 bias                      
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   54.6000 - 2.5280 bias 44.9000 - -2.8104 bias 0.6000 - 0.6029 bias                    
Change Research11/1X 1.00000   53.0000 - 1.4957 bias 45.0000 - -1.2913 bias                      
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   50.0000 - 2.3692 bias 42.0000 - -0.3728 bias                      
Civiqs11/1X 1.00000   51.0000 - 2.9404 bias 47.0000 - -1.4007 bias                      
Reuters/Ipsos11/1X 1.00000   53.0000 - 3.1158 bias 43.0000 - 0.8563 bias 2.0000 - 0.6991 bias 0.0000 - -0.0125 bias                 0.0000 - 0.3616 bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   53.8000 - 3.1429 bias 40.5000 - -1.6394 bias                      
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.98333   50.6000 - 0.9972 bias 48.7000 - 0.1499 bias                      
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)10/31X 0.98333   49.0000 - 1.4286 bias 46.0000 - -1.1849 bias 3.0000 - 1.6868 bias                    
Siena Research Institute10/30X 0.96667   52.0000 - 0.4840 bias 41.0000 - -0.0165 bias 3.0000 - 1.3635 bias                    
Emerson College10/30X 0.96667   53.0000 - 0.8084 bias 45.0000 - 0.6906 bias                      
SSRS10/30X 0.96667   52.0000 - 1.4667 bias 44.0000 - -0.8430 bias                      
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/29X 0.95000   53.0000 - 5.3275 bias 41.0000 - -3.3523 bias 2.0000 - 0.2578 bias                    
Trafalgar Group10/25X 0.88333   47.5000 - -1.6435 bias 47.1000 - 1.8988 bias 3.1000 - 0.8790 bias                    
Marquette University Law School10/25X 0.88333   48.0000 - 1.0486 bias 43.0000 - 0.0598 bias 2.0000 - 1.7666 bias                    
Langer Research Associates10/25X 0.88333   57.0000 - 2.9247 bias 40.0000 - -1.7362 bias                      
Gravis Marketing10/23X 0.85000   54.0000 - 1.1590 bias 43.0000 - 0.2608 bias                      
YouGov10/21X 0.81667   51.0000 - 1.4134 bias 43.0000 - 0.0288 bias                      
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/20X 0.80000   49.0000 - 1.0608 bias 44.0000 - -0.5021 bias 2.0000 - 1.4422 bias                    
RMG Research10/20X 0.80000   50.0000 - 3.2526 bias 44.0000 - -1.9745 bias                      
Latino Decisions10/19X 0.78333   50.0000 - 3.5661 bias 45.0000 - -2.0029 bias                      
Baldwin Wallace University10/8X 0.60000   49.2000 - 3.7908 bias 42.5000 - -4.6995 bias 1.8000 - 2.3052 bias                   0.1000 - 0.8803 bias
Marist Institute9/24X 0.36667   54.0000 - 0.7635 bias 44.0000 - -0.4397 bias                      
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   51.0000 - 3.2645 bias 44.0000 - -1.1830 bias                      
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.10000   50.0000 - 2.2156 bias 45.0000 - -1.4207 bias                      
TOTAL 49.667110 44.799400 1.008784 0.012500 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.518612