Poll Average Details- OH US President - 2020-11-03 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Daniel BehrmanTom Hoefling Brian T. Carroll Dario Hunter President R. Boddie Jade Simmons Kasey Wells Howie Hawkins
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   50.0000 - -2.2024 bias 47.0000 - 2.6000 bias                
Civiqs11/1X 1.00000   49.0000 - -1.4007 bias 48.0000 - 2.9404 bias                
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   52.3000 - -2.8104 bias 47.1000 - 2.5280 bias 0.5000 - 0.6029 bias             0.2000 - 1.5682 bias
Quinnipiac University11/1X 1.00000   43.0000 - -0.2682 bias 47.0000 - 1.0754 bias                
Rasmussen Reports11/1X 1.00000   49.0000 - 1.5977 bias 45.0000 - 0.4180 bias                
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   47.0000 - -0.3728 bias 47.0000 - 2.3692 bias                
Trafalgar Group10/31X 0.98333   47.6000 - 1.8988 bias 43.9000 - -1.6435 bias 2.6000 - 0.8790 bias             1.0000 - 1.9277 bias
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   48.4000 - 0.6906 bias 49.0000 - 0.8084 bias                
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   49.2000 - -1.6394 bias 46.6000 - 3.1429 bias                
AtlasIntel10/30X 0.96667   50.0000 - 0.1499 bias 47.0000 - 0.9972 bias                
Gravis Marketing10/28X 0.93333   49.0000 - 0.2608 bias 47.0000 - 1.1590 bias                
Wick Research10/25X 0.88333   49.4000 - 1.6304 bias 46.5000 - -0.2802 bias                
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/20X 0.80000   48.0000 - -0.5021 bias 45.0000 - 1.0608 bias 3.0000 - 1.4422 bias             1.0000 - 1.3894 bias
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   44.4100 - -3.0328 bias 43.2000 - 4.4051 bias 1.8600 - 1.4395 bias             0.6000 - -1.4631 bias
Baldwin Wallace University10/8X 0.60000   47.0000 - -4.6995 bias 45.4000 - 3.7908 bias 1.4000 - 2.3052 bias             0.4000 - 0.1070 bias
Siena Research Institute10/6X 0.56667   44.0000 - -0.0165 bias 45.0000 - 0.4840 bias                
YouGov10/2X 0.50000   47.0000 - 0.0288 bias 47.0000 - 1.4134 bias                
OnMessage Inc. (R)10/1X 0.48333   48.0000 - 3.3406 bias 47.0000 - -1.9372 bias 2.0000 - 0.1702 bias             1.0000 - 0.6367 bias
Hart Research (D)9/27X 0.41667   49.0000 - -1.1830 bias 47.0000 - 3.2645 bias                
TOTAL 48.564549 44.886756 0.752859 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.126446