Poll Average Details- NC US President - 2020-11-03 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Max AbramsonHowie Hawkins No Preference Write-In Jade Simmons Don Blankenship No Preference
Swayable11/2X 1.00000   46.4000 - -2.8104 bias 52.3000 - 2.5280 bias 1.0000 - 0.6029 bias 0.3000 - 0.1921 bias      
SurveyMonkey11/1X 0.98333   47.0000 - -2.2024 bias 51.0000 - 2.6000 bias          
Change Research11/1X 0.98333   47.0000 - -1.2913 bias 49.0000 - 1.4957 bias          
Reuters/Ipsos11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - 0.8563 bias 49.0000 - 3.1158 bias 1.0000 - 0.6991 bias 1.0000 - 0.3616 bias      
Data for Progress11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - -0.9368 bias 50.0000 - 1.5464 bias 1.0000 - 0.7656 bias 1.0000 - 0.5976 bias      
FrederickPolls10/31X 0.96667   49.0000 - -2.0941 bias 51.0000 - 0.7644 bias          
Morning Consult10/31X 0.96667   48.4000 - -1.6394 bias 49.1000 - 3.1429 bias          
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.96667   49.5000 - 0.1499 bias 47.5000 - 0.9972 bias          
Emerson College10/31X 0.96667   47.1000 - 0.6906 bias 47.4000 - 0.8084 bias          
Insider Advantage10/31X 0.96667   48.0000 - 0.0480 bias 43.6000 - -0.0455 bias 1.9000 - 0.9670 bias        
SSRS10/30X 0.95000   45.0000 - -0.8430 bias 51.0000 - 1.4667 bias 2.0000 - 0.8943 bias 1.0000 - 1.4128 bias      
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.93333   48.0000 - 1.5977 bias 47.0000 - 0.4180 bias          
HarrisX10/29X 0.93333   48.0000 - -1.8341 bias 49.0000 - 3.3005 bias          
Trafalgar Group10/29X 0.93333   48.6000 - 1.8988 bias 46.5000 - -1.6435 bias 2.6000 - 0.8790 bias        
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/29X 0.93333   47.0000 - -3.3523 bias 49.0000 - 5.3275 bias 2.0000 - 0.2578 bias 0.0000 - 0.1905 bias      
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach10/28X 0.91667   47.6000 - -0.8356 bias 50.4000 - 2.2171 bias          
Marist Institute10/28X 0.91667   46.0000 - -0.4397 bias 52.0000 - 0.7635 bias          
Cardinal Point Analytics10/28X 0.91667   48.0500 - -0.5515 bias 45.9000 - -1.4837 bias 1.2100 - 1.1673 bias 0.9400 - 0.7373 bias     2.0200 - 2.0592 bias
YouGov10/27X 0.90000   45.0000 - 0.0288 bias 49.0000 - 1.4134 bias          
Public Policy Polling10/27X 0.90000   47.0000 - -0.1800 bias 51.0000 - 1.1680 bias          
Gravis Marketing10/27X 0.90000   46.0000 - 0.2608 bias 49.0000 - 1.1590 bias          
Siena Research Institute10/27X 0.90000   45.0000 - -0.0165 bias 48.0000 - 0.4840 bias          
Meeting Street Research10/27X 0.90000   45.0000 - -1.0746 bias 48.0000 - 2.1330 bias          
University of Massachusetts10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - -1.1910 bias 48.0000 - 1.2969 bias 1.0000 - 1.6304 bias        
Survey USA10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - 0.3265 bias 48.0000 - 0.5274 bias          
RMG Research10/26X 0.88333   47.0000 - -1.9745 bias 48.0000 - 3.2526 bias          
Civitas Institute (R)10/25X 0.86667   46.0000 - -1.8372 bias 47.0000 - 1.5441 bias 1.0000 - 1.4738 bias 0.0000 - -0.2207 bias     0.0000 - 0.1243 bias
Wick Research10/25X 0.86667   49.4000 - 1.6304 bias 47.2000 - -0.2802 bias          
Citizen Data10/20X 0.78333   43.6300 - -3.0328 bias 50.1500 - 4.4051 bias 1.0100 - 1.4395 bias 0.2600 - 0.1125 bias      
Meredith College10/19X 0.76667   44.0000 - -1.9836 bias 48.1000 - 3.6941 bias 1.3000 - 0.8627 bias 0.6000 - 0.9747 bias     0.1000 - 0.2085 bias
Langer Research Associates10/17X 0.73333   48.0000 - -1.7362 bias 49.0000 - 2.9247 bias 1.0000 - 0.6212 bias 0.0000 - 0.5166 bias      
Civiqs10/14X 0.68333   46.0000 - -1.4007 bias 51.0000 - 2.9404 bias          
Monmouth University10/11X 0.63333   46.0000 - -0.9091 bias 49.0000 - 1.9679 bias 3.0000 - 0.8035 bias 0.0000 - 0.1881 bias     0.0000 - -0.2360 bias
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)10/11X 0.63333   46.0000 - -1.1849 bias 48.0000 - 1.4286 bias 2.0000 - 1.6868 bias        
ALG Research (D)9/28X 0.41667   47.0000 - -2.9971 bias 50.0000 - 4.2434 bias          
Hart Research (D)9/27X 0.40000   47.0000 - -1.1830 bias 49.0000 - 3.2645 bias          
Suffolk University9/14X 0.18333   42.8000 - -2.1317 bias 46.2000 - 1.6356 bias 4.8000 - 1.1435 bias 0.2000 - 0.4664 bias      
Cook Political Report9/13X 0.16667   43.0000 - -2.1258 bias 45.0000 - 3.7698 bias          
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.08333   48.0000 - -1.4207 bias 48.0000 - 2.2156 bias          
TOTAL 47.826697 47.059343 0.586785 0.022596 0.000000 0.000000 -0.024307