Poll Average Details- NJ US President - 2020-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Bernie SandersDonald Trump Donald TrumpJo Jorgensen Howie Hawkins David RoldeGloria E. La Riva William "Bill" Hammons Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Don Blankenship
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   59.0000 - 2.3995 bias 39.0000 - -2.7710 bias            
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   56.0000 - 0.9679 bias 38.0000 - 1.0358 bias            
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   58.9000 - bias 40.0000 - bias 0.8000 - bias 0.3000 - bias        
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)10/24X 0.86667   61.0000 - 1.3156 bias 37.0000 - -1.7158 bias            
DKC Analytics10/13X 0.68333   56.0000 - bias 34.0000 - bias            
Stockton University10/13X 0.68333   56.0000 - 0.2408 bias 36.0000 - 0.6708 bias            
Fairleigh Dickinson University10/5X 0.55000   53.0000 - -0.5018 bias 38.0000 - 0.8750 bias            
Emerson College9/7X 0.08333   55.0000 - 0.7363 bias 38.0000 - 0.7826 bias            
TOTAL 56.689062 38.042735 0.800000 0.300000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000