Poll Average Details- MO US President - 2020-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Matthew John MaternJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Jacob G. HornbergerHowie Hawkins David RoldeGloria E. La Riva Don Blankenship Don BlankenshipBrian T. Carroll Jade Simmons Kasey Wells
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   54.6000 - -2.8104 bias 43.4000 - 2.5280 bias 1.8000 - 0.6029 bias 0.2000 - 0.1921 bias          
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   54.0000 - -2.2024 bias 44.0000 - 2.6000 bias              
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   52.3000 - -1.6394 bias 42.9000 - 3.1429 bias              
Remington Research10/29X 0.95000   50.0000 - -0.4438 bias 45.0000 - 0.8599 bias 2.0000 - 0.4208 bias 1.0000 - 0.4244 bias          
YouGov10/7X 0.58333   51.8000 - 0.0288 bias 43.2000 - 1.4134 bias              
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)10/2X 0.50000  X 1/2 50.0000 - -2.3099 bias 48.0000 - 2.7672 bias              
We Ask America9/3X 0.01667   49.0000 - 0.7934 bias 44.0000 - -0.1888 bias              
TOTAL 54.074343 41.753263 1.383251 0.284472 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000