Poll Average Details- MN US President - 2020-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Bernie SandersDonald J. Trump Roque "Rocky" De La FuenteJo Jorgensen Adam Kokesh Ye Howie Hawkins Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Alyson Kennedy Write-In Tom Hoefling Don Blankenship Brian T. Carroll Dario Hunter Mark Charles Jason Stanek Frederick Michael Carl Frederickson Ryan J. Gilmer Shawn W. Howard Michael A. Laboch Gloria E. La Riva Brock Pierce
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   56.0000 - 2.6000 bias 42.0000 - -2.2024 bias                                    
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   52.7000 - 2.5280 bias 43.4000 - -2.8104 bias 3.5000 - 0.6029 bias   0.4000 - 0.1921 bias                              
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   51.0000 - 1.5464 bias 43.0000 - -0.9368 bias 4.0000 - 0.7656 bias   2.0000 - 0.5976 bias                              
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   52.0000 - 2.3692 bias 43.0000 - -0.3728 bias                                    
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   51.7000 - 3.1429 bias 42.4000 - -1.6394 bias                                    
Targoz Market Research10/30X 0.96667   53.0000 - 3.1386 bias 44.0000 - -2.0175 bias                                    
Public Policy Polling10/30X 0.96667   54.0000 - 1.1680 bias 43.0000 - -0.1800 bias                                    
Saint Cloud State University10/29X 0.95000   54.0000 - 2.5246 bias 39.0000 - -0.4630 bias                                    
Survey USA10/27X 0.91667   47.0000 - 0.5274 bias 42.0000 - 0.3265 bias                                    
Gravis Marketing10/26X 0.90000   53.0000 - 1.1590 bias 39.0000 - 0.2608 bias                                    
Trafalgar Group10/25X 0.88333   48.0000 - -1.6435 bias 44.8000 - 1.8988 bias 2.0000 - 0.8790 bias 3.3000 - 1.9277 bias                                
Civiqs10/20X 0.80000   53.0000 - 2.9404 bias 43.0000 - -1.4007 bias                                    
Change Research10/15X 0.71667   49.0000 - 1.4957 bias 44.0000 - -1.2913 bias 2.0000 - 1.5239 bias 1.0000 - 1.0971 bias 0.0000 - 0.3517 bias                              
Suffolk University9/24X 0.36667   46.6000 - 1.6356 bias 40.2000 - -2.1317 bias 2.4000 - 1.1435 bias 0.8000 - 1.6824 bias 0.4000 - 0.4664 bias 0.8000 - 0.7041 bias 0.0000 - -0.0196 bias                       0.0000 - 0.3896 bias 0.2000 - 1.6824 bias
Mason-Dixon9/23X 0.35000   48.0000 - 0.4277 bias 42.0000 - 0.8543 bias                                    
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/17X 0.25000   51.0000 - 5.3275 bias 42.0000 - -3.3523 bias 0.0000 - 0.2578 bias   0.0000 - 0.1905 bias                              
Langer Research Associates9/13X 0.18333   57.0000 - 2.9247 bias 41.0000 - -1.7362 bias                                    
YouGov9/11X 0.15000   50.0000 - 1.4134 bias 41.0000 - 0.0288 bias                                    
Siena Research Institute9/10X 0.13333   50.0000 - 0.4840 bias 41.0000 - -0.0165 bias 2.0000 - 1.3635 bias   1.0000 - 1.4547 bias                              
TOTAL 49.874457 43.235030 1.826220 0.416473 0.353553 0.095900 0.019600 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.389600 -1.482400