Poll Average Details- MI US President - 2020-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Joe BidenDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJo Jorgensen Donald J. TrumpTom Hoefling Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Don Blankenship Brian T. Carroll Jade Simmons Kasey Wells Tara Renee Hunter Howie Hawkins
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   52.0000 - 2.6000 bias 46.0000 - -2.2024 bias                  
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   53.6000 - 2.5280 bias 44.9000 - -2.8104 bias 1.3000 - 0.6029 bias               0.1000 - 0.1921 bias
Change Research11/1X 1.00000   51.0000 - 1.4957 bias 44.0000 - -1.2913 bias                  
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   50.0000 - 2.3692 bias 43.0000 - -0.3728 bias                  
Reuters/Ipsos11/1X 1.00000   53.0000 - 3.1158 bias 43.0000 - 0.8563 bias 1.0000 - 0.6991 bias               0.0000 - 0.3616 bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   51.8000 - 3.1429 bias 44.5000 - -1.6394 bias                  
Trafalgar Group10/31X 0.98333   45.8000 - -1.6435 bias 48.3000 - 1.8988 bias 1.7000 - 0.8790 bias                
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.98333   48.3000 - 0.9972 bias 45.9000 - 0.1499 bias                  
Insider Advantage10/31X 0.98333   48.8000 - -0.0455 bias 46.7000 - 0.0480 bias 1.7000 - 0.9670 bias                
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   51.6000 - 0.8084 bias 44.8000 - 0.6906 bias                  
Public Policy Polling10/30X 0.96667   54.0000 - 1.1680 bias 44.0000 - -0.1800 bias 1.0000 - 1.4191 bias               0.0000 - 0.9532 bias
SSRS10/30X 0.96667   53.0000 - 1.4667 bias 41.0000 - -0.8430 bias                  
Targoz Market Research10/30X 0.96667   53.0000 - 3.1386 bias 39.0000 - -2.0175 bias                  
RMG Research10/29X 0.95000   51.0000 - 3.2526 bias 44.0000 - -1.9745 bias                  
Mitchell Research & Communications10/29X 0.95000   52.1000 - 1.8111 bias 45.0000 - -0.3165 bias 1.3000 - 0.5871 bias               0.6000 - 0.2009 bias
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/29X 0.95000   54.0000 - 5.3275 bias 41.0000 - -3.3523 bias 1.0000 - 0.2578 bias               0.0000 - 0.1905 bias
Kiaer Research10/28X 0.93333   53.5000 - 6.7687 bias 40.6000 - -5.0587 bias                  
EPIC/MRA10/28X 0.93333   48.0000 - 0.7445 bias 41.0000 - 0.7895 bias                  
Siena Research Institute10/26X 0.90000   49.0000 - 0.4840 bias 41.0000 - -0.0165 bias 2.0000 - 1.3635 bias               1.0000 - 1.4547 bias
Glengariff Group10/25X 0.88333   49.3000 - 0.0853 bias 41.6000 - -0.5761 bias                  
Langer Research Associates10/25X 0.88333   51.0000 - 2.9247 bias 44.0000 - -1.7362 bias                  
Wick Research10/25X 0.88333   48.4000 - -0.2802 bias 48.1000 - 1.6304 bias                  
Gravis Marketing10/24X 0.86667   55.0000 - 1.1590 bias 42.0000 - 0.2608 bias                  
YouGov10/21X 0.81667   51.0000 - 1.4134 bias 42.0000 - 0.0288 bias                  
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   49.5000 - 4.4051 bias 41.3600 - -3.0328 bias 1.4100 - 1.4395 bias               0.1600 - 0.1125 bias
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/20X 0.80000   52.0000 - 1.0608 bias 40.0000 - -0.5021 bias 3.0000 - 1.4422 bias               0.0000 - 0.5107 bias
Data for Progress10/18X 0.76667   50.0000 - 1.5464 bias 45.0000 - -0.9368 bias 2.0000 - 0.7656 bias               0.0000 - 0.5976 bias
Zia Poll10/18X 0.76667   45.0000 - -2.0984 bias 49.0000 - 3.1080 bias                  
HarrisX10/15X 0.71667   54.0000 - 3.3005 bias 43.0000 - -1.8341 bias                  
Civiqs10/11X 0.65000   52.0000 - 2.9404 bias 43.0000 - -1.4007 bias                  
Baldwin Wallace University10/8X 0.60000   50.2000 - 3.7908 bias 43.2000 - -4.6995 bias 1.1000 - 2.3052 bias               0.8000 - 0.8803 bias
Opinion Insight, LLC10/6X 0.56667   51.0000 - 2.9575 bias 42.0000 - -1.4171 bias                  
Marist Institute9/23X 0.35000   52.0000 - 0.7635 bias 44.0000 - -0.4397 bias                  
ALG Research (D)9/23X 0.35000   52.0000 - 4.2434 bias 44.0000 - -2.9971 bias                  
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   50.0000 - 3.2645 bias 45.0000 - -1.1830 bias                  
Marketing Resource Group9/19X 0.28333   46.0000 - 1.9320 bias 41.0000 - -1.2748 bias                  
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.10000   50.0000 - 2.2156 bias 43.0000 - -1.4207 bias                  
Rasmussen Reports9/3X 0.01667   51.0000 - 0.4180 bias 43.0000 - 1.5977 bias                  
TOTAL 49.026187 44.427714 0.516080 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.282033