Poll Average Details- GA US President - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Write-InGloria E. La Riva David C. Byrne Loren Collins Barbara Ruth Bellar Princess Khadijah M. Jacob-Fambro Don Blankenship Brian T. Carroll Mark Charles President R. Boddie Shawn W. Howard Deborah Ann Rouse Jade Simmons Kasey Wells Kathryn Gibson Peter W. Sherrill Howie Hawkins
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   49.0000 - -2.2024 bias 50.0000 - 2.6000 bias                                  
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   44.3000 - -2.8104 bias 53.6000 - 2.5280 bias 2.0000 - 0.6029 bias                                
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   48.0000 - -0.9368 bias 50.0000 - 1.5464 bias 1.0000 - 0.7656 bias                               0.0000 - 0.5976 bias
Landmark Communications (R)11/1X 1.00000   50.1000 - -0.2052 bias 46.0000 - 0.2105 bias 2.7000 - 1.2448 bias                                
AYTM Polling Services11/1X 1.00000   48.0000 - -1.1462 bias 52.0000 - 2.2640 bias                                  
Insider Advantage11/1X 1.00000   48.1000 - 0.0480 bias 46.1000 - -0.0455 bias 3.9000 - 0.9670 bias                                
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   46.4000 - -1.6394 bias 48.8000 - 3.1429 bias                                  
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.98333   48.3000 - 0.1499 bias 46.1000 - 0.9972 bias                                  
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   49.3000 - 0.6906 bias 48.8000 - 0.8084 bias                                  
Public Policy Polling10/28X 0.93333   46.0000 - -0.1800 bias 48.0000 - 1.1680 bias                                  
YouGov10/27X 0.91667   47.0000 - 0.0288 bias 48.0000 - 1.4134 bias                                  
Monmouth University10/27X 0.91667   45.0000 - -0.9091 bias 50.0000 - 1.9679 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias                                
Civiqs10/26X 0.90000   46.0000 - -1.4007 bias 51.0000 - 2.9404 bias                                  
Wick Research10/25X 0.88333   49.4000 - 1.6304 bias 46.9000 - -0.2802 bias                                  
University of Georgia10/23X 0.85000   46.0000 - -0.4747 bias 47.0000 - -0.1354 bias 3.0000 - 2.4717 bias                                
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   43.7400 - -3.0328 bias 48.1500 - 4.4051 bias 0.9200 - 1.4395 bias                               0.2000 - 0.1125 bias
Siena Research Institute10/19X 0.78333   45.0000 - -0.0165 bias 45.0000 - 0.4840 bias                                  
Opinion Insight, LLC10/15X 0.71667   45.0000 - -1.4171 bias 49.0000 - 2.9575 bias                                  
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)10/14X 0.70000  X 1/2 44.0000 - -2.3099 bias 51.0000 - 2.7672 bias                                  
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   44.0000 - -0.2682 bias 51.0000 - 1.0754 bias                                  
Survey USA10/12X 0.66667   46.0000 - 0.3265 bias 48.0000 - 0.5274 bias                                  
Hart Research (D)9/27X 0.41667   47.0000 - -1.1830 bias 50.0000 - 3.2645 bias                                  
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/26X 0.40000   44.0000 - -3.3523 bias 45.0000 - 5.3275 bias 2.0000 - 0.2578 bias                               1.0000 - 0.1905 bias
GBA Strategies (D)9/16X 0.23333  X 1/2 46.0000 - -1.9714 bias 49.0000 - 2.3010 bias                                  
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research9/5X 0.05000   46.0000 - -0.2048 bias 47.0000 - 2.9444 bias                                  
TOTAL 47.564170 47.013484 1.126339 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.092636