Poll Average Details- AZ US President - 2020-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Joe BidenDonald J. Trump Jo Jorgensen Gloria E. La Riva Daniel Clyde Cummings President R. Boddie Jade Simmons Howie Hawkins Jorge Zavala
Reuters/Ipsos11/2X 1.00000   50.0000 - 3.1158 bias 47.0000 - 0.8563 bias 1.0000 - 0.6991 bias         0.0000 - 0.3616 bias
SurveyMonkey11/1X 0.98333   52.0000 - 2.6000 bias 47.0000 - -2.2024 bias            
Swayable11/1X 0.98333   50.6000 - 2.5280 bias 45.7000 - -2.8104 bias 3.7000 - 0.6029 bias          
Change Research11/1X 0.98333   50.0000 - 1.4957 bias 47.0000 - -1.2913 bias            
Marist Institute11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - 0.7635 bias 48.0000 - -0.4397 bias            
Data for Progress11/1X 0.98333   50.0000 - 1.5464 bias 47.0000 - -0.9368 bias 2.0000 - 0.7656 bias         1.0000 - 0.5976 bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.96667   48.4000 - 3.1429 bias 46.1000 - -1.6394 bias            
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.96667   48.1000 - 0.9972 bias 50.4000 - 0.1499 bias            
Emerson College10/31X 0.96667   48.0000 - 0.8084 bias 46.0000 - 0.6906 bias            
Data Orbital10/30X 0.95000   45.9000 - 0.7930 bias 45.3000 - -0.0317 bias 2.4000 - 0.5182 bias          
Siena Research Institute10/30X 0.95000   49.0000 - 0.4840 bias 43.0000 - -0.0165 bias 3.0000 - 1.3635 bias          
SSRS10/30X 0.95000   50.0000 - 1.4667 bias 46.0000 - -0.8430 bias 3.0000 - 0.8943 bias          
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/29X 0.93333   50.0000 - 5.3275 bias 46.0000 - -3.3523 bias 2.0000 - 0.2578 bias         0.0000 - 0.1905 bias
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.93333   45.0000 - 0.4180 bias 49.0000 - 1.5977 bias            
Gravis Marketing10/28X 0.91667   48.0000 - 1.1590 bias 44.0000 - 0.2608 bias            
Trafalgar Group10/28X 0.91667   46.4000 - -1.6435 bias 48.9000 - 1.8988 bias 2.3000 - 0.8790 bias          
Justice Collaborative Institute10/25X 0.86667   49.0000 - 4.1476 bias 43.0000 - -3.3402 bias            
Latino Decisions10/25X 0.86667   50.0000 - 3.5661 bias 45.0000 - -2.0029 bias            
OH Predictive Insights10/25X 0.86667   49.0000 - -0.8237 bias 46.0000 - 1.3069 bias 3.0000 - 1.3227 bias          
y2 Analytics10/24X 0.85000   50.0000 - 1.0721 bias 47.0000 - 0.4852 bias            
Patinkin Research Strategies10/24X 0.85000   52.0000 - 3.6054 bias 45.0000 - -3.3430 bias            
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)10/22X 0.81667   46.0000 - 1.4286 bias 46.0000 - -1.1849 bias 4.0000 - 1.6868 bias          
RMG Research10/19X 0.76667   47.0000 - 3.2526 bias 46.0000 - -1.9745 bias            
YouGov10/16X 0.71667   50.0000 - 1.4134 bias 47.0000 - 0.0288 bias            
Monmouth University10/13X 0.66667   50.0000 - 1.9679 bias 44.0000 - -0.9091 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias          
HighGround10/5X 0.53333   46.0000 - -0.5387 bias 45.0000 - -0.4362 bias            
Basswood Research (R)10/5X 0.53333   48.0000 - -1.9275 bias 48.0000 - 3.9682 bias 1.0000 - -0.4884 bias          
Targoz Market Research10/2X 0.48333   45.0000 - 3.1386 bias 46.0000 - -2.0175 bias            
Suffolk University9/30X 0.45000   50.0000 - 1.6356 bias 46.0000 - -2.1317 bias            
Strategies 3609/29X 0.43333   49.0000 - 1.9465 bias 45.0000 - -1.1472 bias            
Langer Research Associates9/20X 0.28333   48.0000 - 2.9247 bias 49.0000 - -1.7362 bias            
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.26667   53.0000 - 3.2645 bias 42.0000 - -1.1830 bias            
Cook Political Report9/13X 0.16667   45.0000 - 3.7698 bias 40.0000 - -2.1258 bias            
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.08333   48.0000 - 2.2156 bias 47.0000 - -1.4207 bias            
TOTAL 47.053235 46.918561 1.683971 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.049271