Poll Average Details- AZ US President - 2020-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Joe BidenDonald J. Trump Jo Jorgensen Gloria E. La Riva Daniel Clyde Cummings President R. Boddie Jade Simmons Howie Hawkins
Reuters/Ipsos11/2X 1.00000   50.0000 - -5.4077 bias 47.0000 - -6.3315 bias 1.0000 - 1.8599 bias         0.0000 - 1.1810 bias
Marist Institute11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - 0.4625 bias 48.0000 - -0.3584 bias            
Swayable11/1X 0.98333   50.6000 - bias 45.7000 - bias 3.7000 - bias          
Change Research11/1X 0.98333   50.0000 - 0.7149 bias 47.0000 - -0.5008 bias            
SurveyMonkey11/1X 0.98333   52.0000 - 2.3995 bias 47.0000 - -2.7710 bias            
Data for Progress11/1X 0.98333   50.0000 - bias 47.0000 - bias 2.0000 - bias         1.0000 - bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.96667   48.4000 - 2.6453 bias 46.1000 - -3.7909 bias            
Emerson College10/31X 0.96667   48.0000 - 0.7363 bias 46.0000 - 0.7826 bias            
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.96667   48.1000 - bias 50.4000 - bias            
Siena Research Institute10/30X 0.95000   49.0000 - -0.5836 bias 43.0000 - 0.9493 bias 3.0000 - 2.5226 bias          
Data Orbital10/30X 0.95000   45.9000 - 1.6367 bias 45.3000 - -0.0515 bias 2.4000 - -0.0084 bias          
SSRS10/30X 0.95000   50.0000 - 1.6902 bias 46.0000 - -0.7501 bias 3.0000 - 1.4218 bias          
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/29X 0.93333   50.0000 - bias 46.0000 - bias 2.0000 - bias         0.0000 - bias
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.93333   45.0000 - 0.4145 bias 49.0000 - 1.6097 bias            
Gravis Marketing10/28X 0.91667   48.0000 - 0.7560 bias 44.0000 - 0.5484 bias            
Trafalgar Group10/28X 0.91667   46.4000 - -1.3560 bias 48.9000 - 2.0875 bias 2.3000 - -0.0832 bias          
Justice Collaborative Institute10/25X 0.86667   49.0000 - bias 43.0000 - bias            
OH Predictive Insights10/25X 0.86667   49.0000 - -2.8681 bias 46.0000 - 3.3870 bias 3.0000 - 1.4234 bias          
Latino Decisions10/25X 0.86667   50.0000 - bias 45.0000 - bias            
y2 Analytics10/24X 0.85000   50.0000 - -3.3804 bias 47.0000 - 2.8467 bias            
Patinkin Research Strategies10/24X 0.85000   52.0000 - 2.2594 bias 45.0000 - -5.2621 bias            
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)10/22X 0.81667   46.0000 - 1.5519 bias 46.0000 - -1.4142 bias 4.0000 - 2.0252 bias          
RMG Research10/19X 0.76667   47.0000 - bias 46.0000 - bias            
YouGov10/16X 0.71667   50.0000 - 1.3621 bias 47.0000 - 0.0717 bias            
Monmouth University10/13X 0.66667   50.0000 - 1.2762 bias 44.0000 - -0.3486 bias 2.0000 - 1.1165 bias          
HighGround10/5X 0.53333   46.0000 - -0.0117 bias 45.0000 - -1.5495 bias            
Basswood Research (R)10/5X 0.53333   48.0000 - -2.9383 bias 48.0000 - 6.0657 bias 1.0000 - bias          
Targoz Market Research10/2X 0.48333   45.0000 - 2.7777 bias 46.0000 - -1.6535 bias            
Suffolk University9/30X 0.45000   50.0000 - 1.8265 bias 46.0000 - -2.5107 bias            
Strategies 3609/29X 0.43333   49.0000 - 0.7229 bias 45.0000 - 1.7559 bias            
Langer Research Associates9/20X 0.28333   48.0000 - 0.7742 bias 49.0000 - -1.2935 bias            
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.26667   53.0000 - 0.7267 bias 42.0000 - 1.8635 bias            
Cook Political Report9/13X 0.16667   45.0000 - bias 40.0000 - bias            
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.08333   48.0000 - 2.1766 bias 47.0000 - -1.5747 bias            
TOTAL 48.578690 46.499839 1.624516 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.067771