Poll Average Details- NH US President - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Joe Biden Bernie Sanders	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Jo Jorgensen	Bernie Sanders	Howie Hawkins	Mitt Romney	Tulsi Gabbard	Write-In	Ye
SurveyMonkey	11/1	X 1.00000		53.0000 - 2.6000 bias	46.0000 - -2.2024 bias
American Research Group	10/28	X 0.93333		58.0000 - -0.0031 bias	39.0000 - 0.7892 bias	1.0000 - 0.7110 bias
University of New Hampshire	10/28	X 0.93333		53.0000 - 2.6652 bias	45.0000 - -2.2994 bias	1.0000 - 0.3437 bias
University of Massachusetts	10/26	X 0.90000		53.0000 - 1.2969 bias	43.0000 - -1.1910 bias	2.0000 - 1.6304 bias
Saint Anselm College	10/26	X 0.90000		52.0000 - 1.8450 bias	44.0000 - -1.4118 bias	2.0000 - -0.0179 bias
Suffolk University	10/12	X 0.66667		51.0000 - 1.6356 bias	41.0000 - -2.1317 bias	2.0000 - 1.1435 bias
Emerson College	10/1	X 0.48333		53.0000 - 0.8084 bias	45.0000 - 0.6906 bias
Rasmussen Reports	9/25	X 0.38333		56.0000 - 0.4180 bias	42.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Siena Research Institute	9/11	X 0.15000		45.0000 - 0.4840 bias	42.0000 - -0.0165 bias	4.0000 - 1.3635 bias
TOTAL				51.859376	44.191361	0.891637	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000