Poll Average Details- Sweden EU Parliament - Popular Vote - 2019-05-26 13:00:00
The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window -
the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0.
If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals
in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively
be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus).
[TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed.
Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.
| Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal |
Social Democrats | Moderate Party | Sweden Democrats | Green Party | Centre Party | Christian Democrats | Left Party | Liberals | Feminist Initiative | Others | Pirate Party | Alternative for Sweden | Citizens' Coalition | Independent Rural Party | Animals' Party | Christian Values Party | Turning Point Party |
|---|
| SKOP Institute | 5/24 | X 1.00000 |
|
23.1000 - -2.2070 bias |
16.0000 - -1.4889 bias |
17.1000 - 0.9660 bias |
9.4000 - 0.0684 bias |
9.2000 - -0.1263 bias |
10.3000 - 1.0688 bias |
7.4000 - 1.7142 bias |
4.7000 - 1.1452 bias |
1.0000 - 0.4600 bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ipsos | 5/23 | X 0.98333 |
|
23.9000 - -0.3581 bias |
13.6000 - -2.5080 bias |
16.9000 - 1.9474 bias |
9.9000 - -0.3632 bias |
8.5000 - -1.3204 bias |
12.5000 - 2.4959 bias |
7.2000 - 1.3152 bias |
4.5000 - 0.3573 bias |
0.9000 - 0.1450 bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| TNS Sifo | 5/23 | X 0.98333 |
|
23.1000 - -0.9307 bias |
14.4000 - -1.1267 bias |
18.9000 - 1.0462 bias |
10.0000 - 0.3452 bias |
10.3000 - 0.6064 bias |
9.0000 - -0.5531 bias |
8.3000 - 1.2153 bias |
4.0000 - 0.5799 bias |
0.5000 - 0.3968 bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Novus | 5/22 | X 0.96667 |
|
23.5000 - -1.9262 bias |
15.9000 - -0.7887 bias |
16.2000 - 0.9520 bias |
10.7000 - 0.3128 bias |
8.6000 - -0.5603 bias |
9.9000 - 0.9678 bias |
7.2000 - 1.5043 bias |
5.2000 - 1.0232 bias |
1.1000 - 0.3448 bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| TOTAL |
24.754995 |
16.456466 |
16.050854 |
9.904727 |
9.500853 |
9.431417 |
6.087708 |
3.820964 |
0.537438 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |
0.000000 |