Poll Average Details- Panama President - 2019-05-05 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Laurentino "Nito" Cortizo Rómulo Roux Ricardo Lombana José Isabel Blandón Figueroa Ana Maltide Gómez Ruiloba Marco Ameglio Saúl Méndez
GAD34/30X 1.00000   36.1000 - 3.1167 bias 26.2000 - -4.5281 bias 19.6000 - 0.7936 bias 9.6000 - -1.0906 bias 5.3000 - 0.7936 bias 1.4000 - 0.7936 bias 0.8000 - 0.1212 bias
Doxa Panama4/28X 0.96667   30.0000 - -0.0146 bias 32.0000 - 4.5628 bias 15.0000 - -1.2484 bias 8.0000 - -1.8987 bias 4.0000 - -1.2484 bias   1.0000 - 0.4242 bias
Stratmark Consultores S.A.4/28X 0.96667   44.0000 - 11.5043 bias 27.2000 - -3.2660 bias 10.5000 - -3.1347 bias 11.3000 - 0.7313 bias 3.6000 - -3.1347 bias 0.4000 - -3.1347 bias 1.1000 - 0.4344 bias
TOTAL 31.844292 29.557225 16.259113 10.389461 5.485249 2.045734 0.640507