Poll Average Details- ITA EU Parliament - Popular Vote - 2019-05-26 13:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Northern League Five Star Movement Democratic Party Forza Italia Brothers of Italy More Europe Green Europe The Left South Tyrolean People's Party New Force Populars for Italy Communist Party PPA Movement CasaPound–United Right The People of Family–Popular Alternative Autonomies for Europe Pirate Party Italian Animal Welfare Party
SWG4/29X 1.00000   31.6000 - -2.9664 bias 21.8000 - 0.4521 bias 22.5000 - 1.0293 bias 8.8000 - 1.0339 bias 5.0000 - -0.4108 bias 2.9000 - 0.0686 bias 1.5000 - -0.7772 bias 3.1000 - 1.4347 bias                    
Ipsos4/4X 0.58333   36.9000 - 0.1340 bias 22.3000 - -0.6235 bias 18.7000 - 0.8250 bias 8.7000 - 1.4345 bias 4.6000 - -0.2016 bias 3.0000 - -0.6870 bias 1.3000 - -0.9884 bias 2.1000 - 0.3971 bias                    
Ixè4/1X 0.53333   31.0000 - -3.9748 bias 21.0000 - 0.5728 bias 20.0000 - 0.7964 bias 10.0000 - 3.0768 bias 5.0000 - -0.3629 bias 4.0000 - 1.0634 bias 1.0000 - -1.2678 bias 3.0000 - 1.4033 bias                    
Noto3/5X 0.08333   33.0000 - bias 21.0000 - bias 20.0000 - bias 11.0000 - bias 4.0000 - bias 3.5000 - bias                        
TOTAL 35.189300 21.529295 19.911986 7.551522 5.184218 3.109092 2.277918 1.658377 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000