Poll Average Details- FL US President - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Joe Biden Donald Trump Howie Hawkins None of the AboveJo Jorgensen Lincoln ChafeeGloria E. La Riva Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Don Blankenship
Change Research6/28X 1.00000   50.0000 - 0.7149 bias 45.0000 - -0.5008 bias          
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News6/23X 0.91667   49.0000 - 0.8627 bias 40.0000 - -0.2043 bias          
Siena Research Institute6/18X 0.83333   47.0000 - -0.5836 bias 41.0000 - 0.9493 bias          
Redfield & Wilton Strategies6/15X 0.78333   45.0000 - bias 41.0000 - bias 1.0000 - bias 1.0000 - bias      
TIPP6/11X 0.71667   51.0000 - -0.5044 bias 40.0000 - 1.5188 bias          
Cygnal5/30X 0.51667   47.0000 - bias 44.0000 - bias          
St. Pete Polls5/27X 0.46667   47.5000 - -0.6749 bias 46.7000 - 0.6362 bias          
Point Blank Political5/17X 0.30000   52.3000 - bias 47.7000 - bias          
Florida Atlantic University5/12X 0.21667   53.0000 - 2.5283 bias 47.0000 - -0.5044 bias          
TOTAL 48.454945 42.479579 1.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000