Poll Average Details- VA Governor - 2021-11-02 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Glenn Youngkin Terry McAuliffe Princess Blanding Write-In Paul Davis
Targoz Market Research11/1X 1.00000   47.0000 - -2.0175 bias 50.0000 - 3.1386 bias 2.0000 - 1.3175 bias    
Research Co.11/1X 1.00000   48.0000 - -0.3728 bias 47.0000 - 2.3692 bias 2.0000 - 1.3592 bias    
Trafalgar Group10/31X 0.98333   49.4000 - 1.8988 bias 47.1000 - -1.6435 bias      
Insider Advantage10/30X 0.96667   47.0000 - 0.0480 bias 45.0000 - -0.0455 bias 2.0000 - 1.4250 bias    
Echelon Insights10/29X 0.95000   49.0000 - -0.1429 bias 46.0000 - -0.5627 bias 2.0000 - 1.3592 bias    
Roanoke College10/28X 0.93333   47.0000 - 0.3736 bias 48.0000 - -0.8388 bias 1.0000 - 0.3390 bias    
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/27X 0.91667   53.0000 - -0.5021 bias 45.0000 - 1.0608 bias      
Washington Post-Schar School 10/26X 0.90000   48.0000 - -2.6454 bias 49.0000 - 2.6351 bias 1.0000 - 0.3177 bias    
Christopher Newport University10/25X 0.88333   48.0000 - -0.8496 bias 49.0000 - 0.8749 bias 1.0000 - 0.3177 bias    
Suffolk University10/24X 0.86667   45.2000 - -2.1317 bias 45.6000 - 1.6356 bias 1.8000 - 1.2411 bias    
Emerson College10/23X 0.85000   49.0000 - 0.6906 bias 49.0000 - 0.8084 bias 2.0000 - 1.2973 bias    
Virginia Commonwealth University10/21X 0.81667   38.0000 - -2.1314 bias 41.0000 - 2.7282 bias      
Cygnal (R)10/21X 0.81667   48.0000 - 0.1689 bias 48.0000 - 0.0766 bias      
Monmouth University10/19X 0.78333   46.0000 - -0.9091 bias 46.0000 - 1.9679 bias      
Schoen Cooperman Research10/12X 0.66667   43.0000 - -2.7999 bias 47.0000 - 3.5814 bias      
YouGov10/11X 0.65000   47.0000 - 0.0288 bias 50.0000 - 1.4134 bias      
Global Strategy Group (D)9/20X 0.30000   45.0000 - -2.0582 bias 48.0000 - 2.9065 bias      
Public Policy Polling9/18X 0.26667   42.0000 - -0.1800 bias 45.0000 - 1.1680 bias      
University of Mary Washington9/13X 0.18333   48.0000 - -0.3589 bias 43.0000 - -0.7427 bias 2.0000 - 1.4478 bias    
TOTAL 47.743881 45.815447 0.645059 0.000000 0.000000