Poll Average Details- Sweden Riksdag - Popular Vote - 2022-09-11 13:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Social Democrats Sweden Democrats Moderate Party Centre Party Left Party Green Party Christian Democrats Liberals Others Pirate Party Feminist Initiative Alternative for Sweden Citizens' Coalition Volt Europa Nordic Resistance Movement Direct Democrats Independent Rural Party Unity Classically Liberal Party Communist Party of Sweden Basic Income Party Christian Values Party Nuance Party Human Rights and Democracy Button Pushers Climate Alliance The Socialists - Welfare Party Turning Point Party Skåne Party Sweden out of the EU/Libertarian Justice Party United Democratic Party Stram Kurs Donald Duck Party
TNS Sifo9/7X 1.00000   29.5000 - -0.9307 bias 20.2000 - 1.0462 bias 17.1000 - -1.1267 bias 7.0000 - 0.6064 bias 7.4000 - 1.2153 bias 6.2000 - 0.3452 bias 6.1000 - -0.5531 bias 5.8000 - 0.5799 bias                                                  
Novus8/31X 0.88333   26.6000 - -1.9262 bias 20.0000 - 0.9520 bias 18.9000 - -0.7887 bias 6.8000 - -0.5603 bias 8.4000 - 1.5043 bias 5.9000 - 0.3128 bias 7.2000 - 0.9678 bias 5.3000 - 1.0232 bias                                                  
SKOP Institute8/31X 0.88333   28.7000 - -2.2070 bias 18.8000 - 0.9660 bias 16.0000 - -1.4889 bias 8.3000 - -0.1263 bias 8.1000 - 1.7142 bias 5.8000 - 0.0684 bias 6.1000 - 1.0688 bias 6.7000 - 1.1452 bias                                                  
Ipsos8/30X 0.86667   28.3000 - -0.3581 bias 22.2000 - 1.9474 bias 16.8000 - -2.5080 bias 6.1000 - -1.3204 bias 8.7000 - 1.3152 bias 5.7000 - -0.3632 bias 6.1000 - 2.4959 bias 4.8000 - 0.3573 bias                                                  
Demoskop8/4X 0.43333   28.7000 - -1.6147 bias 17.7000 - -0.6774 bias 20.3000 - -0.0110 bias 7.2000 - 0.5736 bias 7.7000 - 1.3772 bias 4.8000 - 0.1521 bias 6.9000 - 0.7058 bias 5.7000 - 1.0316 bias                                                  
TOTAL 29.730348 18.995580 18.836544 7.288742 6.653295 5.685722 5.510691 4.863441 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000