Poll Average Details- Ukraine President - 2019-03-31 14:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Volodymyr Zelenskyy Petro Poroshenko Yulia Tymoshenko Yuriy Boyko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Oleh Lyashko Oleksandr Vilkul Ihor Smeshko Ihor Shevchenko Ruslan Koshulynskyi Olexandr Shevchenko Oleksandr Moroz Gennady Balashov Viktor Bondar Yuriy Karmazin Mykola Haber Inna Bohoslovska Illia Kyva Yuri Tymoshenko Valentyn Nalyvaichenko Roman Bezsmertnyi Yulia Lytvynenko Yuriy Derevyanko Serhiy Taruta Volodymyr Petrov Vitaliy Skotsyk Serhiy Kaplin Viktor Kryvenko Arkadiy Kornatskiy Roman Nasirov Vasyl Zhuravlyov Andriy Novak Oleksandr Solovyev Oleksandr Vashchenko Ruslan Rygovanov Olekandr Danylyuk Vitalii Kuprii Serhiy Nosenko Olha Bogomolets
KIIS/KMIS3/26X 1.00000   20.9000 - 4.2584 bias 13.7000 - 0.6196 bias 9.7000 - -1.1579 bias 8.4000 - -1.3433 bias 6.3000 - 1.6453 bias 4.0000 - -0.7694 bias 3.0000 - 0.0009 bias 3.3000 - 0.6196 bias   1.3000 - -0.2333 bias 0.4000 - -0.0256 bias 0.1000 - bias 0.1000 - -0.0364 bias                                                   0.4000 - 0.6196 bias
Rating3/7X 0.68333   24.7000 - -5.4796 bias 16.8000 - 0.3918 bias 18.3000 - -0.0133 bias 9.9000 - -1.7462 bias 10.3000 - 3.4802 bias 5.7000 - 0.2493 bias 2.7000 - -1.4542 bias 3.3000 - 0.3918 bias 3.3000 - 0.3918 bias 1.4000 - -1.6121 bias 1.3000 - 0.7382 bias   0.2000 - 0.0274 bias 0.1000 - -0.0191 bias                                                 0.3000 - 0.3918 bias
Ukrainian Institute of Sociology / Social Monitoring Centre3/1X 0.58333   25.2000 - -3.5682 bias 17.5000 - -0.2206 bias 16.9000 - 4.5682 bias 9.3000 - -0.2206 bias 7.2000 - 0.7274 bias 4.4000 - -0.8282 bias 2.3000 - -1.7331 bias 2.6000 - -0.2206 bias   1.1000 - -0.4655 bias 2.2000 - 1.7762 bias 0.3000 - bias 0.1000 - -0.0688 bias                                                   0.2000 - -0.2206 bias
Blue Dawn Monitoring (BDM)2/19X 0.41667   20.0000 - -9.5542 bias 12.0000 - -3.6042 bias 17.8000 - 5.1720 bias 6.4000 - -3.6042 bias 7.1000 - 0.4758 bias 8.6000 - 3.5034 bias 5.7000 - 1.7991 bias 2.3000 - -3.6042 bias   1.9000 - 0.3543 bias 4.8000 - 4.4684 bias                                                        
TOTAL 24.730445 15.328486 13.351753 10.219989 5.907080 5.093445 3.658070 3.269480 2.908200 1.918814 0.445297 0.173684 0.155651 0.119100 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.016315