Poll Average Details- WA Governor - Blanket Primary - 2020-08-04 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Jay Inslee Loren Culp Tim Eyman Joshua Daniel Freed Raul Garcia Phil Fortunato Thor Amundson Write-In David Blomstrom Gene D. Hart Goodspaceguy Omari Tahir-Garrett Donovan L. "Don" Rivers William Miller Bill Hirt Alex Tsimerman Liz Hallock Henry Clay Dennison Anton Sakharov Dylan B. Nails Martin L. "Iceman" Wheeler David Voltz Nate Herzog Cairo M. D'Almeida Cregan M. Newhouse Elaina J. Gonzalez Joshua Wolf Leon Aaron Lawson Matthew Murray Ryan Ryals Winston Wilkes Richard L. Carpenter Tylor Grow Ian Gonzales Craig Campbell Cameron M. Vessey Brian R. Weed
Survey USA7/27X 1.00000   55.0000 - 0.5274 bias 9.0000 - 0.3265 bias 8.0000 - 0.3265 bias 6.0000 - 0.3265 bias 4.0000 - 0.3265 bias 3.0000 - 0.3265 bias                                                              
Elway7/15X 0.80000   46.0000 - 2.1363 bias 14.0000 - -0.7665 bias 4.0000 - -0.7665 bias 5.0000 - -0.7665 bias 6.0000 - -0.7665 bias 2.0000 - -0.7665 bias                                                              
TOTAL 49.757533 11.381500 6.381500 5.714833 5.048167 2.714833 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000