Poll Average Details- KY US Senate - 2020-11-03 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Mitch McConnell	Amy McGrath	Brad Barron	Demetra Jefferson Wysinger	Paul John Frangedakis	Randall Lee Teegarden	Harold H. Fitzpatrick	Daniel Cobble
Swayable	11/1	X 1.00000		49.1000 - -2.8104 bias	46.3000 - 2.5280 bias	4.6000 - 0.6029 bias
Morning Consult	10/31	X 0.98333		51.1000 - -1.6394 bias	39.8000 - 3.1429 bias
Bluegrass Community and Technical College	10/28	X 0.93333		50.0000 - -3.3896 bias	39.6000 - 6.2726 bias
Cygnal (R)	10/20	X 0.80000		50.2000 - 0.1689 bias	39.9000 - 0.0766 bias	5.0000 - 1.9588 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/17	X 0.75000		51.0000 - 0.8543 bias	42.0000 - 0.4277 bias	4.0000 - 0.2403 bias
Data for Progress	9/20	X 0.30000		46.0000 - -0.9368 bias	39.0000 - 1.5464 bias	3.0000 - 0.7656 bias
Quinnipiac University	9/14	X 0.20000		53.0000 - -0.2682 bias	41.0000 - 1.0754 bias
TOTAL				51.537571	38.895839	3.480756	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000