Poll Average Details- CO US Senate - 2020-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John Hickenlooper Patricia ZornioCory Gardner Cory GardnerRaymon Anthony Doane Gaylon KentDaniel Doyle Stephan E. Evans Michael Sanchez Bruce E. Lohmiller Danny Skelly
Keating Research (D)11/1X 1.00000   53.0000 - 1.6879 bias 42.0000 - -0.1042 bias            
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   54.0000 - 1.5464 bias 45.0000 - -0.9368 bias            
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   56.9000 - 2.5280 bias 43.1000 - -2.8104 bias            
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   51.5000 - 3.1429 bias 43.6000 - -1.6394 bias            
RBI Strategies (D)10/16X 0.73333   53.0000 - 0.9582 bias 39.0000 - -1.5356 bias 2.0000 - 1.6308 bias   1.0000 - 0.7754 bias      
RMG Research10/15X 0.71667   51.0000 - 3.2526 bias 42.0000 - -1.9745 bias            
Civiqs10/14X 0.70000   53.0000 - 2.9404 bias 42.0000 - -1.4007 bias 2.0000 - 0.3540 bias 0.0000 - -0.3035 bias 0.0000 - -0.2772 bias      
University of Colorado10/9X 0.61667   48.0000 - 2.1531 bias 40.0000 - -0.8889 bias            
Survey USA10/6X 0.56667   48.0000 - 0.5274 bias 39.0000 - 0.3265 bias            
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research9/5X 0.05000   51.0000 - 2.9444 bias 46.0000 - -0.2048 bias            
TOTAL 50.319869 43.370838 0.992753 0.303500 0.250288 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000