Poll Average Details- Hesse Landtag - Popular Vote - 2018-10-28 13:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Christian Democratic Union Alliance '90/The Greens Social Democratic Party Alternative for Germany Free Democratic Party The Left Others National Democratic Party of Germany Free Voters Animal Welfare Party Ecological Democratic Party Civil Rights Movement Solidarity Pirate Party Germany Die PARTEI Liberal Conservative Reformers V-Partei3
Infratest Dimap10/17X 1.00000   26.0000 - -1.4316 bias 20.0000 - 1.5420 bias 21.0000 - 3.4458 bias 12.0000 - -2.1298 bias 9.0000 - 0.3497 bias 8.0000 - 2.0169 bias                    
FGW10/1X 0.73333   29.0000 - -0.4832 bias 18.0000 - 0.2722 bias 23.0000 - 4.2809 bias 13.0000 - -1.6200 bias 6.0000 - -0.2374 bias 8.0000 - 1.0895 bias                    
TOTAL 28.299585 18.149069 18.047042 14.337192 7.629458 6.375462 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000