Poll Average Details- Scottish Parliament - Regional Vote - 2021-05-06 16:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Scottish National Party	Conservative Party	Labour Party	Scottish Green Party	Liberal Democrats	Alba Party	All for Unity	UK Independence Party	Independent	Communist Party of Britain	Independent Green Voice	Social Democratic Party	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	Animal Welfare Party	Women's Equality Party	Scottish Libertarian Party	Scottish Family Party	Scotia Future	Abolish the Scottish Parliament Party	Freedom Alliance	Renew Party	Reclaim Party	Restore Scotland	Vanguard Party	Reform UK
YouGov	5/4	X 1.00000		38.0000 - -2.1958 bias	22.0000 - -2.2623 bias	16.0000 - -3.7254 bias	13.0000 - 2.9157 bias	5.0000 - 2.5136 bias	3.0000 - 1.4056 bias	1.0000 - 0.1615 bias																		0.0000 - 1.1723 bias
Savanta ComRes	4/20	X 0.76667		38.0000 - 0.0331 bias	23.0000 - -0.4062 bias	17.0000 - 1.7818 bias	7.0000 - -0.4295 bias	5.0000 - 0.8389 bias	1.0000 - -0.5567 bias
Panelbase	4/12	X 0.63333		36.0000 - -0.8455 bias	22.0000 - 0.8251 bias	17.0000 - 4.4003 bias	9.0000 - -0.1463 bias	6.0000 - -2.5222 bias	6.0000 - 4.4668 bias	2.0000 - 1.1819 bias
Opinium	4/6	X 0.53333		44.0000 - 2.3101 bias	22.0000 - 0.4420 bias	17.0000 - 0.7288 bias	7.0000 - -0.9053 bias	5.0000 - -0.2855 bias	2.0000 - 0.4062 bias
Ipsos MORI	4/4	X 0.50000		38.0000 - 2.5783 bias	21.0000 - -1.1045 bias	18.0000 - -2.3889 bias	6.0000 - 1.7421 bias	6.0000 - 0.8073 bias	3.0000 - 1.6052 bias
Survation	3/30	X 0.41667		37.0000 - 1.6993 bias	18.0000 - -1.6647 bias	19.0000 - -0.9298 bias	11.0000 - 2.0326 bias	8.0000 - 1.5083 bias	3.0000 - 1.4694 bias
TOTAL				38.258007	22.431506	17.285455	8.221931	4.985488	1.543915	0.830590	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	-1.172300