Poll Average Details- FRA EU Parliament - Popular Vote - 2019-05-26 14:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal La République En Marche! National Rally The Republicans Europe Ecology - The Greens La France insoumise Socialist Party Debout la France Génération.s French Communist Party Animalist Party Union of Democrats and Independents Ecology Generation Popular Republican Union Workers' Struggle The Patriots Yellow Alliance Others
Ipsos5/24X 1.00000   23.0000 - -2.2401 bias 25.0000 - 2.7605 bias 13.0000 - 0.1276 bias 9.5000 - -0.9509 bias 7.5000 - -0.8941 bias 5.5000 - -1.1038 bias 3.5000 - -0.6455 bias 2.5000 - -0.7742 bias 2.5000 - 0.8706 bias 1.5000 - -0.6632 bias 1.5000 - 1.0938 bias 0.5000 - -1.3192 bias 1.0000 - -0.0581 bias 0.5000 - -0.2681 bias 0.5000 - -0.1495 bias 1.0000 - 0.4650 bias  
Harris Interactive5/24X 1.00000   22.5000 - -1.5841 bias 25.0000 - 1.6863 bias 12.0000 - 2.4128 bias 7.5000 - -2.8091 bias 9.0000 - -0.9465 bias 5.0000 - 0.7771 bias 3.5000 - -0.0114 bias 2.0000 - -1.2742 bias 3.5000 - 0.6112 bias 1.5000 - -0.6632 bias 1.5000 - -0.9986 bias 1.0000 - -0.8192 bias 1.0000 - -0.2970 bias 1.0000 - -0.0121 bias 1.0000 - 0.3505 bias 1.0000 - 0.4650 bias  
Elabe5/24X 1.00000   22.5000 - -0.3266 bias 25.0000 - 4.2656 bias 13.0000 - 1.7014 bias 9.0000 - -4.1291 bias 8.5000 - -0.2118 bias 4.5000 - -0.8150 bias 4.0000 - -0.1053 bias 2.5000 - -0.7742 bias 2.5000 - 0.1830 bias 1.5000 - -0.6632 bias 1.0000 - -1.4986 bias 1.0000 - -0.8192 bias 1.0000 - -0.2970 bias 1.0000 - -0.4593 bias 2.0000 - 1.3505 bias 0.0000 - -0.5350 bias  
IFOP5/24X 1.00000   23.0000 - 0.3386 bias 25.5000 - 4.6575 bias 13.5000 - 0.8101 bias 8.0000 - -1.4132 bias 7.5000 - -0.0984 bias 5.5000 - -1.0973 bias 4.0000 - 0.4871 bias 2.0000 - -1.2742 bias 3.0000 - 0.3098 bias 1.5000 - -0.6632 bias 1.5000 - -0.9986 bias 0.5000 - -1.3192 bias 1.0000 - -0.0470 bias 0.5000 - -0.4847 bias 1.5000 - 0.8505 bias 1.0000 - 0.4650 bias  
TOTAL 23.703050 21.782525 11.612025 10.825575 8.662700 5.684750 3.818775 3.274200 2.381350 2.163200 1.975500 1.819200 1.174775 1.056050 0.649500 0.535000 0.000000