Poll Average Details- SP Governor - 2018-10-07 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal João Doria Júnior Paulo Skaf Márcio França Luiz Marinho Rogerio Chequer Ranalho Machado "Rogerio Chequer" Exército Adriano da Costa e Silva "Major Costa e Silva" Lisete Regina Gomes Arelaro "Professora Lisete" Marcelo de Souza Cândido Claudio Fernando de Aguiar "Prof. Claudio Fernando" Rodrigo Tavares da Silva Lilian Miranda Antônio Donizete Ferreira "Toninho Ferreira"
Ibope9/24X 1.00000   22.0000 - -1.7232 bias 24.0000 - 0.6150 bias 12.0000 - 2.6410 bias 6.0000 - -0.2874 bias 1.0000 - -4.5343 bias 4.0000 - 0.8550 bias 2.0000 - -0.6257 bias 1.0000 - -0.4793 bias 1.0000 - -0.5630 bias 1.0000 - -0.1751 bias 1.0000 - 1.0851 bias 1.0000 - 0.8087 bias
Datafolha9/19X 0.91667   26.0000 - -0.8318 bias 22.0000 - -0.4193 bias 11.0000 - 0.2398 bias 6.0000 - 0.3983 bias 1.0000 - -4.0657 bias 2.0000 - -0.3893 bias 2.0000 - -0.5795 bias 1.0000 - -0.3661 bias 1.0000 - -0.0848 bias 1.0000 - -0.0241 bias 1.0000 - 0.4512 bias 1.0000 - 0.8440 bias
TOTAL 25.209922 22.923143 10.029139 5.959457 5.310187 2.783578 2.603604 1.425161 1.334296 1.102883 0.218070 0.174417