Poll Average Details- DF Governor - 2018-10-07 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ibaneis Rocha Eliana Pedrosa Rogério Rosso Rodrigo Rollemberg Alberto Fraga Alexandre Guerra Júlio Miragaya Fátima Sousa Paulo Chagas Renan Rosa Antônio Ricardo Martins Guillen
Ibope9/26X 1.00000   20.0000 - 0.6150 bias 21.0000 - 4.6669 bias 11.0000 - -1.7895 bias 11.0000 - 2.6410 bias 11.0000 - 2.7917 bias 2.0000 - -4.5343 bias 3.0000 - -0.2874 bias 1.0000 - -0.6257 bias 3.0000 - 2.4931 bias 1.0000 - 1.0851 bias 0.0000 - 0.8087 bias
Datafolha9/19X 0.88333   13.0000 - -0.4193 bias 20.0000 - 5.9284 bias 11.0000 - -0.8248 bias 12.0000 - 0.2398 bias 14.0000 - 3.3500 bias 2.0000 - -4.0657 bias 3.0000 - 0.3983 bias 2.0000 - -0.5795 bias 5.0000 - 3.2583 bias 0.0000 - 0.4512 bias 0.0000 - 0.8440 bias
TOTAL 16.586928 15.272396 12.337030 9.954253 9.353522 6.314514 2.965788 2.073058 1.086054 -0.256811 -0.825257