Poll Average Details- Iceland Althingi - Popular Vote - 2021-09-25 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Independence Party Progressive Party Left-Green Movement Social Democratic Alliance Reform Party People's Party Pirate Party Centre Party Icelandic Socialist Party Icelandic National Front Liberal Democratic Party National Party Freedom Party Ábyrg Framtíð
Maskína9/24X 1.00000   21.4000 - -2.8097 bias 15.4000 - -1.7474 bias 10.5000 - -1.9900 bias 13.8000 - 3.9847 bias 10.1000 - 1.8516 bias 6.2000 - -2.5996 bias 10.2000 - 1.6535 bias 5.5000 - 0.0949 bias 6.1000 - 2.0566 bias          
Gallup9/24X 1.00000   23.4000 - -0.2723 bias 14.9000 - -1.8676 bias 12.0000 - 0.5697 bias 12.6000 - 2.8147 bias 9.2000 - 0.4674 bias 6.4000 - -2.6335 bias 8.8000 - 1.5697 bias 6.8000 - 0.1393 bias 5.3000 - 1.2394 bias          
MMR9/23X 0.98333   22.9000 - -3.1612 bias 16.4000 - -1.1344 bias 9.7000 - -0.8373 bias 11.5000 - 0.2769 bias 12.0000 - 1.2162 bias 6.2000 - -2.0651 bias 9.9000 - 2.6895 bias 5.8000 - 0.5001 bias 5.1000 - 1.0330 bias          
TOTAL 24.639837 17.147651 11.491166 10.269268 9.246392 8.701826 7.664958 5.791297 4.056944 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000