Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal David Perdue David PerdueJon Ossoff Jon OssoffShane Hazel
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   46.0000 - -0.9368 bias 51.0000 - 1.5464 bias 3.0000 - 0.7656 bias
Landmark Communications (R)11/1X 1.00000   49.0000 - -0.2052 bias 46.9000 - 0.2105 bias 2.7000 - 1.2448 bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   45.5000 - -1.6394 bias 46.5000 - 3.1429 bias  
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   47.6000 - 0.6906 bias 48.9000 - 0.8084 bias  
Public Policy Polling10/28X 0.93333   44.0000 - -0.1800 bias 47.0000 - 1.1680 bias 3.0000 - 1.4191 bias
Monmouth University10/27X 0.91667   46.0000 - -0.9091 bias 49.0000 - 1.9679 bias 2.0000 - 0.8035 bias
Civiqs10/26X 0.90000   45.0000 - -1.4007 bias 51.0000 - 2.9404 bias  
Swayable10/26X 0.90000   49.4000 - -2.8104 bias 47.8000 - 2.5280 bias 2.8000 - 0.6029 bias
University of Georgia10/23X 0.85000   45.0000 - -0.4747 bias 46.0000 - -0.1354 bias 4.0000 - 2.4717 bias
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   40.4400 - -3.0328 bias 47.3000 - 4.4051 bias  
Siena Research Institute10/19X 0.78333   43.0000 - -0.0165 bias 43.0000 - 0.4840 bias 4.0000 - 1.3635 bias
Opinion Insight, LLC10/15X 0.71667   44.0000 - -1.4171 bias 44.0000 - 2.9575 bias  
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)10/14X 0.70000  X 1/2 43.0000 - -2.3099 bias 48.0000 - 2.7672 bias 6.0000 - 2.6831 bias
Survey USA10/12X 0.66667   46.0000 - 0.3265 bias 43.0000 - 0.5274 bias  
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   45.0000 - -0.2682 bias 51.0000 - 1.0754 bias  
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/26X 0.40000   42.0000 - -3.3523 bias 47.0000 - 5.3275 bias  
YouGov9/25X 0.38333   47.0000 - 0.0288 bias 42.0000 - 1.4134 bias  
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   49.0000 - -1.1830 bias 46.0000 - 3.2645 bias  
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research9/5X 0.05000   47.0000 - -0.2048 bias 48.0000 - 2.9444 bias  
TOTAL 46.473941 45.421796 1.895720