Poll Average Details- FL Attorney General - 2018-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ashley Moody Sean Shaw Jeffrey Marc Siskind
Cygnal (R)10/29X 1.00000   51.6000 - 0.1689 bias 42.5000 - 0.0766 bias 1.3000 - -0.4261 bias
University of North Florida10/26X 0.95000   47.0000 - -2.2656 bias 40.0000 - 2.1294 bias  
Saint Leo University10/22X 0.88333   36.1000 - -3.7505 bias 39.7000 - 3.4382 bias  
Survey USA10/21X 0.86667   43.0000 - 0.3265 bias 44.0000 - 0.5274 bias  
SEA Polling & Strategic Design (D)10/20X 0.85000   43.0000 - -0.2297 bias 37.0000 - 2.0255 bias  
Cherry Communications9/24X 0.41667   33.0000 - 0.5152 bias 35.0000 - -0.1037 bias  
TOTAL 44.436035 38.750909 1.726100