Poll Average Details- NLD Tweede Kamer - Popular Vote - 2021-03-17 15:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal People's Party for Freedom and Democracy Party for Freedom Democrats 66 Christian Democratic Appeal Labour Party Socialist Party GroenLinks Party for the Animals ChristianUnion Forum for Democracy Volt Europa JA21 Reformed Political Party DENK Farmer–Citizen Movement 50PLUS BIJ1 Code Orange NIDA Proud of the Netherlands Pirate Party of the Netherlands Libertarian Party Jesus Lives The Greens Henk Krol List NLBeter Splinter Party for the Republic Modern Netherlands We Are the Netherlands Free and Social Netherlands The Party Party JONG Blank List Party of Unity Ubuntu Connected Front OPRECHT
I&O Research3/15X 1.00000   21.0000 - -0.7636 bias 12.5000 - -2.2663 bias 11.8000 - -0.8770 bias 10.2000 - -0.0672 bias 7.4000 - 1.9672 bias 6.8000 - 0.5513 bias 7.2000 - 3.0397 bias 3.2000 - 0.2518 bias 3.9000 - 0.4467 bias 3.2000 - -0.3985 bias 3.2000 - 0.6488 bias 1.8000 - -0.1654 bias 2.4000 - 0.1635 bias 1.3000 - -0.3786 bias 0.9000 - -0.7169 bias 1.0000 - -0.1724 bias 0.7000 - -0.1283 bias 0.3000 - -0.0878 bias 0.2000 - -0.1226 bias                                    
Kantar Public3/8X 0.88333   25.4000 - -0.0800 bias 10.7000 - 1.1092 bias 9.4000 - -3.1587 bias 11.9000 - 1.5890 bias 8.2000 - 1.8340 bias 7.7000 - 1.4224 bias 7.4000 - 1.2631 bias 4.1000 - 0.0626 bias 4.1000 - 0.5970 bias 2.3000 - -1.7375 bias 1.1000 - -1.3135 bias 1.1000 - -1.2573 bias 1.5000 - -0.2121 bias 1.1000 - -0.7831 bias 0.4000 - -0.5976 bias 2.5000 - 1.3033 bias 0.3000 - -0.5346 bias                                        
Ipsos3/8X 0.88333   24.8000 - 2.1344 bias 13.3000 - 0.5242 bias 9.1000 - -1.2040 bias 11.1000 - 0.3884 bias 7.4000 - -3.0383 bias 6.7000 - 1.1572 bias 7.7000 - 0.7539 bias 4.2000 - 0.4237 bias 4.2000 - 0.5496 bias 3.0000 - 1.4116 bias 1.2000 - -0.1040 bias 1.3000 - -0.3128 bias 1.9000 - 0.2570 bias 1.3000 - 0.0159 bias   1.3000 - 0.0238 bias                                          
TOTAL 23.238149 12.478360 11.881585 10.423071 7.328891 6.032549 5.680825 3.560350 3.532098 3.096884 2.109033 1.977948 1.879580 1.617937 1.326432 1.213299 0.831255 0.387800 0.322600 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000