Poll Average Details- FL District 15 - 2018-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ross Spano Ross SpanoKristen Carlson Kristen CarlsonAlek Bynzar Dave Johnson Jeffrey G. Rabinowitz
Siena Research Institute10/19X 1.00000   43.0000 - 0.9493 bias 43.0000 - -0.5836 bias      
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)10/18X 0.98333   47.0000 - -1.5423 bias 47.0000 - 2.1752 bias      
Remington Research10/18X 0.98333   47.0000 - -0.8086 bias 41.0000 - 1.6863 bias      
Survey USA10/14X 0.91667   45.0000 - 0.3777 bias 45.0000 - 0.4046 bias      
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)10/4X 0.75000  X 1/2 46.0000 - 3.1937 bias 39.0000 - -2.4325 bias      
Bold Blue Campaigns9/27X 0.63333   49.0000 - -1.4379 bias 46.0000 - 1.4449 bias      
TOTAL 46.138854 43.125245 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000