Poll Average Details- French President - Runoff - 2017-05-07 13:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Emmanuel Macron Marine Le Pen
Ipsos5/5X 1.00000   63.0000 - -3.0230 bias 37.0000 - 1.8898 bias
Harris Interactive5/5X 1.00000   62.0000 - -1.0092 bias 38.0000 - 0.9692 bias
IFOP5/5X 1.00000   63.0000 - -0.8654 bias 37.0000 - -0.9238 bias
Elabe5/4X 0.98333   62.0000 - -1.3425 bias 38.0000 - 2.9013 bias
OpinionWay5/4X 0.98333   62.0000 - -3.0543 bias 38.0000 - 0.8288 bias
Odoxa5/4X 0.98333   62.0000 - -1.8044 bias 38.0000 - 2.9013 bias
BVA5/2X 0.95000   60.0000 - -3.0543 bias 40.0000 - 1.4049 bias
TOTAL 64.028555 36.566561