Poll Average Details- CA US Senate - Open Primary - 2018-06-05 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Dianne Feinstein James P. Bradley Kevin de León Erin Cruz Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Arun K. Bhumitra Eugene Patterson "Pat" Harris Paul A. Taylor John "Jack" Crew Thomas E. "Tom" Palzer Alison Hartson Kevin N. Mottus Patrick Little Mario Nabliba Jerry J. Laws Sea Reddy Michael V. Ziesing Ursula M. Schilling Adrienne Nicole Edwards Douglas Howard Pierce Tim Gildersleeve David Hildebrand Don J. Grundmann David Moore Herbert G. Peters Donnie O. Turner Derrick Michael Reid John Parker Colleen S. Fernald Jason Hanania Ling Ling Shi Lee Olson Rash Bihari Ghosh Michale Fahmy Girgis Gerald Plummer
Emerson College5/24X 1.00000   38.0000 - 0.8084 bias   6.0000 - 0.8084 bias 5.0000 - 0.6906 bias 4.0000 - 0.6906 bias   6.0000 - 0.8084 bias       4.0000 - 0.8084 bias                                                
YouGov5/24X 1.00000   36.0000 - 1.4134 bias 6.0000 - 0.0288 bias 11.0000 - 1.4134 bias 2.0000 - 0.0288 bias 4.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 2.0000 - 1.4134 bias 2.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 1.4134 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 1.0000 - 0.0288 bias 0.0000 - 0.0288 bias       1.0000 - 1.4134 bias 1.0000 - 1.4134 bias   1.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 1.0000 - 1.4134 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias 1.0000 - 3.6071 bias 0.0000 - 2.6368 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 2.7075 bias 0.0000 - 1.4134 bias
Survey USA5/21X 0.95000   36.0000 - 0.5274 bias 9.0000 - 0.3265 bias 11.0000 - 0.5274 bias 2.0000 - 0.3265 bias 3.0000 - 0.3265 bias 4.0000 - 0.3265 bias 2.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 0.3265 bias 3.0000 - 0.3265 bias 1.0000 - 0.3265 bias 1.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 0.3265 bias 0.0000 - 0.3265 bias 0.0000 - 0.3265 bias 0.0000 - 0.3265 bias       1.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias 1.0000 - 1.3296 bias 0.0000 - -0.4922 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.2390 bias 0.0000 - 0.5274 bias
Public Policy Institute5/20X 0.93333   41.0000 - 7.7960 bias   17.0000 - 7.7960 bias                                                                
USC Dornsife/LA Times5/18X 0.90000   26.0000 - 1.3631 bias 3.0000 - -1.6801 bias 5.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 0.0000 - -1.6801 bias 2.0000 - -1.6801 bias 2.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 0.0000 - -1.6801 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -1.6801 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 1.0000 - -1.6801 bias 0.0000 - -1.6801 bias       1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 1.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - 1.3631 bias 1.0000 - 1.3631 bias 0.0000 - -0.4244 bias 1.0000 - 1.5597 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - -0.0270 bias 0.0000 - 1.3631 bias
Gravis Marketing5/5X 0.68333   32.0000 - 1.1590 bias 19.0000 - 0.2608 bias 8.0000 - 1.1590 bias 13.0000 - 0.2608 bias             6.0000 - 1.1590 bias                     2.0000 - 1.1590 bias                          
University of California - Berkeley4/22X 0.46667   28.0000 - 1.7479 bias 10.0000 - 1.0904 bias 11.0000 - 1.7479 bias                                                                
TOTAL 32.353895 8.846512 7.682547 4.188449 2.943510 2.727409 2.013086 1.762496 1.762496 1.411619 1.369499 1.095830 1.078286 1.078286 0.411619 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.102182 -0.102182 -0.109595 -0.443359 -0.687807 -0.705351 -0.751305 -0.786393 -0.890618 -0.937874 -1.021140 -1.021140 -1.021140 -1.021140 -1.021140 -1.021140 -1.102182